Kalshi · Football
originally is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 15 picks, 68.8% win rate, $499 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| USL Championship | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Allsvenskan | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| WNBA | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Champions League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
originally mainly predicts World Cup: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 15 orders, P&L $499, ROI 16.1%. In World Cup, 6 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-28 01:30 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 0:0 AIK Allsvenskan | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:1 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Atlas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Phoenix Rising FC 0:0 Hartford Athletic USL Championship | Phoenix Rising vs Hartford Athletic Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:1 LA Galaxy MLS | San Jose vs Los Angeles G Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Phoenix Rising FC 0:0 Hartford Athletic USL Championship | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Oakland Roots SC 1:3 Sacramento Republic FC USL Championship | Oakland Roots SC vs Sacramento Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Phoenix Rising FC 0:0 Hartford Athletic USL Championship | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Oakland Roots SC 1:3 Sacramento Republic FC USL Championship | Oakland Roots SC vs Sacramento Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 2:1 Orense S.C. (Orense SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Orense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 0:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs Djurgarden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-20 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 0:0 Djurgarden Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs Djurgarden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 0:0 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Libertad Loja Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston River 0:0 Central Español (Central Espanol FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Boston River vs Central Espanol Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) 1:0 Viking FK Eliteserien | Sarpsborg vs Viking Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) 2:2 Hamarkameratene (HamKam) Eliteserien | Sandefjord vs HamKam Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | IF Brommapojkarna 1:2 IK Sirius Allsvenskan | Brommapojkarna vs Sirius Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | SK Brann 2:1 IK Start Eliteserien | Brann vs Start Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Las Vegas Aces 106:58 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) 0:0 Club Nacional de Football Uruguay Primera Division | Danubio vs Nacional Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx 90:85 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 4:3 BK Häcken (BK Hacken) Allsvenskan | Orgryte vs BK Hacken Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | ESP -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | San Diego 10:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Sacramento Republic FC 2:1 Rhode Island FC USL Championship | Sacramento Republic vs Rhode Island FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Minnesota 6:5 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Minnesota 6:5 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Connecticut Sun 80:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Connecticut winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Differdange 03 (Differdange) 0:0 FC Ilves (Ilves) Conference League | Differdange vs Ilves Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Gap Connah's Quay F.C. (Connah's Quay) 0:0 KF Ballkani (Ballkani) Conference League | Connah's Quay vs Ballkani Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Petrocub Hîncești (Petrocub Hincesti) 1:1 KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) Champions League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Petrocub Hîncești (Petrocub Hincesti) 1:1 KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Petrocub Hîncești (Petrocub Hincesti) 1:1 KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) Champions League | Petrocub Hincesti vs Egnatia Rrogozhine Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | FC Kairat (Kairat) 2:1 Sutjeska Nikšić (Sutjeska Niksic) Champions League | Kairat vs Sutjeska Niksic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Texas 0:2 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) College Baseball | Georgia vs Texas winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Troy 0:12 West Virginia College Baseball | West Virginia vs Troy winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Troy 0:12 West Virginia College Baseball | West Virginia vs Troy winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Toronto Tempo 106:102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Toronto Tempo 106:102 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Toronto winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 1:2 Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) Intl Friendlies | San Marino vs Azerbaijan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) 1:2 Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) Intl Friendlies | San Marino vs Azerbaijan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | England women's national football team (England W) 3:0 Ukraine women's national football team (Ukraine W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | England vs Ukraine Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Sweden women's national football team at the Olympic Games (Sweden W) 2:2 Italy women's national football team (Italy W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Sweden vs Italy Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Finland women's national football team (Finland W) 3:1 Portugal women's national football team (Portugal W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Finland vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) 3:1 Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) Intl Friendlies | Hungary vs Kazakhstan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |