Kalshi · Football
outdoor.hamster8419 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 34 picks, 70.6% win rate, $332 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 34 won, 26 lost, 56.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 50 | 50 | 29 | 58.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| VCL Latin America South | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
outdoor.hamster8419 mainly predicts MLB: 50 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 70.6% hit rate over 34 orders, P&L $332, ROI 29.3%. In MLB, 29 of 50 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 08:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Washington Nationals 5:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New York Mets 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Washington Nationals 7:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Detroit Tigers 3:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 4:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Seattle Mariners 1:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago WS 5:3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Boston Red Sox 3:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:10 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Boston Red Sox 4:0 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 2:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Athletics 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-30 | Chicago WS 6:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | New York Mets 0:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | San Francisco Giants 16:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 5:9 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Francisco Giants 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Chicago WS 12:3 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 8:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 5:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Washington Nationals 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates 2:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Atlanta Dream 93:91 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Atlanta winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Milwaukee Brewers 8:6 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Milwaukee Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 6:2 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | KRU Spark 2:3 BESTIA VCL Latin America South | BESTIA to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:5 San Diego MLB | San Diego vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Colorado 6:4 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland 6:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Kansas City 5:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Washington 5:11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Cincinnati 3:2 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |