Kalshi · Football
smiling.heron4151 is a Club Friendlies pro on Kalshi: 65 picks, 68.7% win rate, $223 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 35 won, 25 lost, 58.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| Major League Soccer | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| UEFA Conference League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Primera Nacional | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Categoría Primera A | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Eliteserien | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
smiling.heron4151 mainly predicts Club Friendlies: 12 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.7% hit rate over 65 orders, P&L $223, ROI 22.0%. In Club Friendlies, 9 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-04 07:39 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Defensor 2:1 C.A. Cerro (Cerro) Primera División (Uruguay) | Defensor vs Cerro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Denver Summit FC 1:1 Boston Legacy FC NWSL | Denver Summit FC vs Boston Legacy FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Asociacion Deportiva Tarma) 0:1 Club Deportivo Garcilaso (Deportivo Garcilaso) Liga 1 | Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs Deportivo Garcilaso Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | SK Brann 3:2 Rosenborg BK Eliteserien | Brann vs Rosenborg Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Hibernian F.C. (Hibernian FC) 1:2 Motherwell F.C. (Motherwell FC) Scottish Premiership | Hibernian vs Motherwell Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Parma Calcio 1913 1:1 G.S. Iraklis Thessalonikis (men's association football) (Iraklis Thessaloniki) Club Friendlies | Parma Calcio vs Iraklis Thessaloniki Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Olomouc 2:2 Mlada Boleslav Czech First League | Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle Major League Soccer | Portland vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | LA Galaxy 0:0 FC Dallas Major League Soccer | Los Angeles G vs Dallas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Colorado 1:0 Austin FC Major League Soccer | Colorado vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 0:1 Millonarios Categoría Primera A | Junior vs Millonarios Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 1:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) Major League Soccer | Saint Louis vs Salt Lake Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0:0 Remo Copa do Brasil | Santos vs Remo Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | D.C. United (D.C. United SC) 2:2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer | DC United vs Nashville Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Club Atlético Nueva Chicago (Nueva Chicago) 2:1 San Muertín de Tucumán (San Martin de Tucuman) Primera Nacional | Chicago vs Tucuman Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | NK Istra 1961 2:3 Lokomotiva HNL | Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Real Madrid 2:2 ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) Club Friendlies | Real Madrid vs Fiorentina Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Beijing Guoan 2:1 Zhejiang Prof. Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang Prof. Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Puebla vs Guadalajara Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Southport F.C. (Southport) 0:0 Wigan Athletic F.C. (Wigan) Club Friendlies | Southport vs Wigan Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | US Sassuolo Calcio 0:0 Folgore Caratese Club Friendlies | Sassuolo vs Folgore Caratese Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) 1:3 Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) Liga Profesional | Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Girona FC 3:3 Castellon Club Friendlies | Girona vs Castellon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1:1 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileirão Série B | Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club Sjdr Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Al Ahli Saudi Club Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) Club Friendlies | Al Ahli Saudi vs Fulham Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Cagliari Calcio 1:0 Modena F.C. (Modena FC 2018) Club Friendlies | Cagliari vs Modena Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0:2 Libertad Loja LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Randers FC 1:1 Silkeborg IF Superliga | Randers vs Silkeborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 0:1 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) LigaPro | Barcelona vs LDU Quito Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Quilmes 0:1 Colegiales Primera Nacional | Quilmes vs Colegiales Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Independ. Santa Fe Categoría Primera A | Aguilas Doradas Rionegro vs Independ. Santa Fe Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Bahia 1:1 S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) Brasileirão Série A | Bahia vs Corinthians Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) 3:4 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileirão Série B | Sao Bernardo vs Ceara Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | San Miguel 0:0 Club Atlético Acassuso (Acassuso) Primera Nacional | San Miguel vs Acassuso Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Los Andes 0:0 Madryn Primera Nacional | Los Andes vs Madryn Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Aalesund 1:1 Viking FK Eliteserien | Aalesund vs Viking Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | AC Horsens 1:1 Nordsjaelland Superliga | Horsens vs Nordsjaelland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | RTS Widzew Łódź (Widzew Lodz) 2:2 Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz vs Motor Lublin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) 0:1 Dunfermline Athletic F.C. (Dunfermline) Scottish Cup | St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Göztepe S.K. (Goztepe Izmir) Rudes Zagreb Club Friendlies | Goztepe Izmir vs Rudes Zagreb Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Gwangju FC 1:2 Jeju SK FC K League 1 | Gwangju vs Jeju SK Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 2:3 Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) Club Friendlies | Leeds United vs Wrexham Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Millonarios 0:1 Bucaramanga Categoría Primera A | Millonarios vs Bucaramanga Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Sportivo Ameliano 1:1 Club Nacional Asunción APF División de Honor | Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | CD Recoleta 1:1 San Lorenzo APF División de Honor | CD Recoleta vs San Lorenzo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Lech Poznań (Lech Poznan) 0:0 KS Cracovia (Cracovia Krakow) Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan vs Cracovia Krakow Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Bilbao 2:2 SD Eibar (Eibar) Club Friendlies | Bilbao vs Eibar Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 2:0 Santander Club Friendlies | Osasuna vs Santander Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Copa Sudamericana | Boca Juniors vs O´Higgins Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Botafogo FC 0:0 Vitoria Brasileirão Série A | Botafogo vs Vitoria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | NSÍ Runavík (Runavik) 0:2 FC Koper UEFA Conference League | Runavik vs Koper Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cherkasy 0:0 KAA Gent (Gent) UEFA Conference League | Cherkasy vs Gent Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Polissya Zhytomyr (Polissya Zhytomyr) 3:3 Copenhagen UEFA Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr vs Copenhagen Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | FCSB 2:3 Auda UEFA Conference League | FCSB vs Auda Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cagliari Calcio 0:0 U.C. Sampdoria (Sampdoria) Club Friendlies | Cagliari vs Sampdoria Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | KF Egnatia (Egnatia Rrogozhine) 3:3 NK Celje UEFA Champions League | Egnatia Rrogozhine vs NK Celje Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | St. Mirren F.C. (St Mirren FC) 4:3 East Kilbride F.C. (East Kilbride) Scottish Cup | St. Mirren vs East Kilbride Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | KÍ Klaksvík (Klaksvik) 0:0 FK Kauno Žalgiris (Kauno) UEFA Champions League | Klaksvik vs Kauno Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Floriana F.C. (Floriana) 1:1 KF Drita UEFA Conference League | Floriana vs KF Drita Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Won |