Kalshi · Football · Basketball
step.race is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 32 picks, 63.6% win rate, $650 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 36 | 36 | 20 | 55.6% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| NBA Summer League | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
step.race mainly predicts World Cup: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 32 orders, P&L $650, ROI 10.7%. In World Cup, 20 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-29 03:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Auda 1:0 Liepaja Latvian Virsliga | Auda vs Liepaja Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Aguada Santeros 67:64 Vaqueros de Bayamón (Vaqueros de Bayamon) BSN Puerto Rico | Vaqueros de Bayamon vs Aguada Santeros men's BSN Puerto Rico game: Vaqueros de Bayamon wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Aucas 0:1 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Aucas vs LDU Quito Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Örgryte IS Fotboll (Orgryte) 3:4 AIK Allsvenskan | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Indiana Fever 84:86 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas vs Indiana women's Pro Basketball game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:4 Real Sociedad Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Solihull Moors F.C. (Solihull) 1:1 Burton Club Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:12 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Toronto to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Houston 100:83 Brooklyn NBA Summer League | Brooklyn to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | San 94:82 Utah NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Chicago 99:87 Washington NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx 90:85 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota Lynx 90:85 New York Liberty WNBA | New York vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:0 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 4:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs South Africa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Austria men's national football team (Austria) 3:1 Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) FIFA World Cup | Austria vs Jordan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |