Kalshi · American football · Football
tough.spray is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 26 picks, 68.4% win rate, $3K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 36 won, 24 lost, 60.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 54 | 54 | 32 | 59.3% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
tough.spray mainly predicts MLB: 54 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.4% hit rate over 26 orders, P&L $3K, ROI 13.5%. In MLB, 32 of 54 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 06:55 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0–3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30–26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Kansas City Royals 3–2 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16–23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington 1–7 New York Mets MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Athletics 5–7 Houston MLB | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Baltimore 4–3 Toronto MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33–30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 14–26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Cleveland 1–0 Athletics MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0–0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers 10–4 San Francisco MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Cleveland 5–3 Athletics MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota Twins 4–3 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | New York Yankees 2–12 New York Mets MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Miami Marlins 2–6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Toronto Blue Jays 4–7 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Minnesota Twins 2–5 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 10–5 Texas MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 6–5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7–3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Cleveland Guardians 6–1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6–9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Atlanta Braves 3–7 San Francisco Giants MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Chicago Cubs 5–7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2–5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Cleveland Guardians 11–1 Kansas City Royals MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Los Angeles Angels 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Cleveland Guardians 0–3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Washington Nationals 9–2 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6–1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2–0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 3–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0–3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Angels 6–8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins 3–7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Los Angeles Angels 2–4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2–4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–0 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Colorado Rockies 2–7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Colorado Rockies 1–9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 6–5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5–4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Boston Red Sox 6–4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Astros 3–18 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Cleveland Guardians 5–2 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cleveland Guardians 0–1 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4–3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Cleveland Guardians 8–1 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5–0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Colorado Rockies 5–11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2–6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 2–10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Cleveland Guardians 6–1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Chicago Cubs 3–0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |