MLB ·
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox prediction for 4 Oct 2026, 01:00 SGT (MLB): 16 profitable pros on Polymarket/Kalshi have taken positions, 73% backing Chicago White Sox to win. Prediction-market win probability: Cleveland Guardians 57%, Chicago White Sox 43% (Kalshi). Recent form, head-to-head and every pro's pick.
Latest Kalshi chances: Cleveland Guardians 57% · Chicago White Sox 43% (updated )
Cleveland Guardians is the prediction-market favourite at 57% (Kalshi, as of 2026-10-03 08:59 UTC+8). Of 15 profitable pros with a win/draw position, 11 (73%) back Chicago White Sox to win. In the last 30 days, market favourites priced at 50–60% won 54% of 1339 finished matches we tracked. This is data, not a guaranteed result.
As of 2026-10-03 08:59 UTC+8, Kalshi shows: Cleveland Guardians 57% · Chicago White Sox 43%. These are the platform's displayed prices, not normalised, so they can add up to slightly more than 100%.
16 profitable pros (listed on Tips, cumulative P&L above zero) hold positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians 4 (27%) · Chicago White Sox 11 (73%).
Cleveland Guardians, last 5: L W W W L. Chicago White Sox, last 5: W W W W L. Head-to-head, last 5 meetings (Cleveland Guardians wins – draws – Chicago White Sox wins): 2-0-3; latest 2026-09-17: Cleveland Guardians 6-3 Chicago White Sox.
Sources: public prices and positions on Polymarket and Kalshi; results from public sports data. Data as of 2026-10-03 08:59 UTC+8. How we calculate: methodology
16 profitable pros have positions on this match. Latest win/draw pick per pro: Cleveland Guardians to win 4 (27%) · Chicago White Sox to win 11 (73%).
| 2026-09-28 | vs Kansas City Royals | 2-3 | L |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Kansas City Royals | 11-5 | W |
| 2026-09-26 | vs Kansas City Royals | 12-9 | W |
| 2026-09-25 | vs Boston Red Sox | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-24 | vs Boston Red Sox | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | vs Houston Astros | 7-3 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | vs Houston Astros | 7-3 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | vs Houston Astros | 6-3 | W |
| 2026-09-28 | vs Colorado Rockies | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-09-27 | vs Colorado Rockies | 6-9 | L |
| 2026-09-17 | Cleveland Guardians | 6-3 | Chicago White Sox |
| 2026-09-16 | Cleveland Guardians | 7-6 | Chicago White Sox |
| 2026-09-15 | Cleveland Guardians | 3-7 | Chicago White Sox |
| 2026-08-10 | Chicago White Sox | 5-3 | Cleveland Guardians |
| 2026-08-09 | Chicago White Sox | 6-3 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | QueenShayShay Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | nixon97 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | negative.collie2897 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | fadedv1 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Hidden.Edge Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Jagfoo11 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | iLovePuhssy Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | hell.bond Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | PvzPix Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | Bswizz00 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | fall.disk Kalshi | Over 6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | draft.sizeGothamCityThunder32 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-02 | HTownCaliRayJ Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Jason.Quijano23 Kalshi | Chicago WS wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | Logan.dippel Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | winnerscircle.hens Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-01 | 28ths Kalshi | Cleveland wins | Pending |