Kalshi · Football
twill11 is a Premier League pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 73.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 16 won, 44 lost, 26.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| College Football | 10 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| UEFA Nations League | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Bundesliga | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| La Liga | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Superliga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
twill11 mainly predicts Premier League: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.3% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 36.9%. In Premier League, 5 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 12:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13–30 IND Colts NFL | Over 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | USC Trojans 25–21 Washington College Football | USC -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45–17 Florida Gators College Football | FLA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2–0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2–0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2–0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2–0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2–0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | CLE +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0–0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) UEFA Nations League | AZE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0–0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) UEFA Nations League | Azerbaijan wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27–24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) Bundesliga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 1–0 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | EVE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | BRI +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | BRI +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | FCA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | Augsburg wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 2–2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Freiburg wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 2–2 SC Freiburg Bundesliga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3–0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 2–3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–3 Elche CF La Liga | ELC +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | AC Monza 2–1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | AC Monza 2–1 US Sassuolo Calcio Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3–0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–3 Elche CF La Liga | Team Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–3 Elche CF La Liga | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Jong FC Utrecht 1–3 Venlo Eerste Divisie | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) 1–0 LASK Linz (LASK) UEFA Champions League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | AEK Athens F.C. (AEK Athens) 1–0 LASK Linz (LASK) UEFA Champions League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24–27 SMU Mustangs College Football | SMU +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | FC Midtjylland 2–2 Nordsjaelland Superliga | FCM -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | FC Midtjylland 2–2 Nordsjaelland Superliga | FCM -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | FC Midtjylland 2–2 Nordsjaelland Superliga | Midtjylland wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Cagliari Calcio 1–0 US Lecce Serie A | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41–38 Louisville Cardinals College Football | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41–13 Wisconsin Badgers College Football | ND +21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1–1 Sevilla FC La Liga | Espanyol wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 0–0 Levante UD La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1–4 FC Augsburg Bundesliga | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Trabzonspor 5–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K. (Genclerbirligi) Süper Lig | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2–1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2–1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Sion 3–2 FC Thun Swiss Super League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51–10 Clemson Tigers College Football | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | South Carolina Gamecocks 57–0 Kent State Golden Flashes College Football | SCAR -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17–16 Baylor Bears College Football | Over 58.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 1–0 Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) Premier League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Al-Shabab Football Club (Al-Shabab) 0–2 Al Hilal SFC (Al Hilal) Saudi Professional League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Viborg FF (Viborg) 0–2 Lyngby Boldklub (Lyngby BK) Superliga | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Viborg FF (Viborg) 0–2 Lyngby Boldklub (Lyngby BK) Superliga | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Buffalo 21–17 University at Albany College Football | BUFF -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Real Sociedad 0–0 RC Celta de Vigo (Celta Vigo) La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0–0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 0–0 Palmeiras Copa do Brasil | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Coquimbo 1–0 U de Concepcion Liga de Primera | Coquimbo wins | Won |