Kalshi · Baseball · Football
unfair.salmon1863 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 46 picks, 83.3% win rate, $562 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 58 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 39 won, 19 lost, 67.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 33 | 33 | 20 | 60.6% |
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 11 | 84.6% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Serie C | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NPB | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Liga Profesional | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
unfair.salmon1863 mainly predicts World Cup: 33 of the last 58 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 83.3% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $562, ROI 12.7%. In World Cup, 20 of 33 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 03:41 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Defensa y Justicia 3–0 San Lorenzo de Almagro Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo de Almagro wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cittadella 1–2 U.C. AlbinoLeffe (Albinoleffe) Serie C | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cittadella 1–2 U.C. AlbinoLeffe (Albinoleffe) Serie C | Albinoleffe wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | A.S. Gubbio 1910 (Gubbio) 1–3 Perugia Serie C | Perugia wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Yomiuri Giants 2–5 Yokohama DeNA BayStars NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Bonaire 2–3 Grenada CONCACAF Nations League | Grenada wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Bonaire 2–3 Grenada CONCACAF Nations League | Bonaire wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Saint Kitts and Nevis 3–3 Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) CONCACAF Nations League | Cuba wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4–6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2–3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 2–5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | NC Dinos 2–4 Doosan Bears KBO | Doosan Bears vs NC Dinos winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 1–4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1–3 Yomiuri Giants NPB | Yomiuri Giants vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1–2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Texas Rangers 6–5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Texas Rangers 6–5 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3–5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | New York Mets 2–3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 8–7 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 4–1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Detroit Tigers 2–4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–2 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates 3–2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco Giants 4–2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 85–91 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Sacramento to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0–0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1–4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2–3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1–2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0–1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0–3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3–2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1–1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3–2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) 0–2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Curacao vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1–4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1–0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4–2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0–3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Brazil Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0–3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2–1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 2–1 Germany FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1–0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0–0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5–0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Uzbekistan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1–2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |