Kalshi · American football · Football
wrong.bar is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 14 picks, 68.8% win rate, $179 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 34 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 34 have settled: 18 won, 16 lost, 52.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| NBA | 11 | 11 | 6 | 54.5% |
| NCAAF | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| MLB | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| College Baseball | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
wrong.bar mainly predicts World Cup: 12 of the last 34 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.8% hit rate over 14 orders, P&L $179, ROI 82.3%. In World Cup, 7 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-09 08:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Brooklyn Nets 114:108 Philadelphia 76ers NBA | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Iowa St. 45:42 West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF | ISU +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Iowa St. 45:42 West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Michigan Wolverines 19:20 Iowa Hawkeyes NCAAF | Iowa wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | TEX +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | West Virginia Mountaineers 24:41 Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Virginia Cavaliers 27:38 West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF | West Virginia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Virginia Cavaliers 27:38 West Virginia Mountaineers NCAAF | UVA +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland 6:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | USA 2:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Australia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | North Carolina 5:2 West Virginia College Baseball | West Virginia vs North Carolina winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | NYK +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-08 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | there be overtime in the New York vs San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 5, 2026 | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Under 216.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | SAS -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | SAS +5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Under 216.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |