Kalshi · Basketball · Baseball · American football
amarchan521 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 79.0% win rate, $928 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 48 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 48 have settled: 26 won, 22 lost, 54.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% |
| WNBA | 11 | 11 | 8 | 72.7% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| CS2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
amarchan521 mainly predicts World Cup: 17 of the last 48 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 79.0% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $928, ROI 37.1%. In World Cup, 6 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-25 12:01 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 75:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Los Angeles wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 75:76 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle Storm 91:103 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins the 1st quarter | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2:4 Washington MLB | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | SF -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | San Francisco 5:2 Minnesota MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Liberty 84:95 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Chicago Cubs 3:6 Atlanta Braves MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels College Football | Under 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Chicago Sky 90:113 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Detroit Lions 17:13 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Detroit Pro Football game: WAS Commanders wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Detroit Lions 17:13 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Detroit Pro Football game: DET Lions wins | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | BetBoom Iron Wing Dota 2 | BetBoom Team to win | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | MOUZ 1:2 FUT Esports CS2 | MOUZ to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | MOUZ 1:2 FUT Esports CS2 | FUT Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire 101:106 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | Los Angeles vs Portland women's Pro Basketball game: Portland wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108:100 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 210.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Toronto Tempo 72:104 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Natasha Howard: 15+ points | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:0 Juarez Liga MX | Draw 0-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Boston Red Sox 6:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Cordoba 0:0 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Cordoba vs Sevilla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Cordoba 0:0 Sevilla FC Club Friendlies | Cordoba vs Sevilla Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | New York Yankees 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Indiana winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | NL 0:4 AL MLB | AL vs NL Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Toronto Tempo 95:108 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Toronto winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:3 Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) FIFA World Cup | BRA -1.5 | Won |