Kalshi · American football
TheClosingLineValue is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 40 picks, 64.1% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 58 have settled: 36 won, 22 lost, 62.1% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 27 | 25 | 15 | 60.0% |
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 11 | 57.9% |
| College Football | 14 | 14 | 10 | 71.4% |
TheClosingLineValue mainly predicts NFL: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 64.1% hit rate over 40 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 33.3%. In NFL, 15 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-06 23:19 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | New York Jets Cleveland Browns NFL | NYJ -2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-06 | Miami Dolphins Cincinnati Bengals NFL | CIN +7.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Under 38.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Buffalo Bills 26:29 New England Patriots NFL | BUF +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | IND -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Auburn Tigers 21:15 Vanderbilt Commodores College Football | AUB -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | CAR +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | South Alabama Jaguars 41:36 Ohio Bobcats College Football | USA +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs College Football | SCAR -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas State Bobcats 49:35 North Texas Mean Green College Football | TXST -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston College Football | TTU -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 27:10 Michigan State Spartans College Football | ND +29.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | HOU Texans 6:20 CIN Bengals NFL | HOU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | Under 40.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Michigan Wolverines 52:17 UTEP Miners College Football | MICH +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Texas 4:2 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Los Angeles Chargers 14:26 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Over 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | DAL -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | New England Patriots 20:3 Pittsburgh Steelers NFL | NE -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 41.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | South Alabama Jaguars 41:36 Ohio Bobcats College Football | USA -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers College Football | LSU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | LV -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Indianapolis Colts 23:41 Baltimore Ravens NFL | BAL +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. College Football | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:9 Charlotte College Football | MISS +45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Indiana Hoosiers 52:16 North Texas Mean Green College Football | Over 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Oklahoma 51:0 UTEP Miners College Football | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | STAN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Toronto Blue Jays 2:13 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Tampa Bay 16:15 Kansas City NFL | Under 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Cleveland Guardians 5:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Miami Marlins 1:13 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Detroit Tigers 4:6 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | PHI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Seattle Mariners 1:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 10:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Cleveland Guardians 2:6 New York Mets MLB | CLE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-03 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:6 Chicago WS MLB | TB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | STL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington Nationals 2:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | TOR -1.5 | Won |