Kalshi · Football
Blacksmith609 is a CONCACAF Nations League pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 71.4% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 27 won, 32 lost, 45.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONCACAF Nations League | 8 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| China League 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
Blacksmith609 mainly predicts CONCACAF Nations League: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.4% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 83.1%. In CONCACAF Nations League, 2 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 15:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) Bilbao La Liga | Tie is the result | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) 0:0 Remo Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) 2:2 Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | GA Eagles 3:3 Sparta Rotterdam (Sparta) Eredivisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 2:2 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:0 Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) 1:3 Junin Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Wieczysta Kraków (Wieczysta Krakow) 3:0 Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa | Wieczysta Krakow wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Gorica 1:2 Rudes Zagreb Croatia HNL | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Wieczysta Kraków (Wieczysta Krakow) 3:0 Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Slovakia women's national football team (Slovakia W) 1:3 Ukraine women's national football team (Ukraine W) FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Slavia Prague B 0:2 Vlasim Czech National Football League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Ironi Modiin 1:2 Hapoel Afula Liga Leumit | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 2:2 Hapoel Kiryat Yam Liga Leumit | Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Shenzhen Peng City F.C. (Shenzhen Peng City) 2:2 Henan F.C. (Henan FC) Chinese Super League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Zhejiang Prof. 2:4 Shanghai Port F.C. (Shanghai Port) Chinese Super League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) 1:1 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Palmeiras 1:0 Bahia Brasileiro Serie A | PAL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Atlético Nacional (Atletico Nacional) 0:0 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 1:0 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) 1:0 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | CRI -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:2 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 0:0 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlético Grau (Atletico Grau) 0:0 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | CAG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Santos F.C. (Santos FC) 2:2 Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) Brasileiro Serie A | Santos wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Ucv Moquegua 0:2 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | The Cong - Viettel 1:3 Ha Tinh FC Vietnam V-League 1 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Cruzeiro E.C. (Cruzeiro) 2:0 Sao Paulo Brasileiro Serie A | Cruzeiro wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) 0:0 Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) Brasileiro Serie B | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Inter Toronto FC 1:2 FC Supra du Québec (FC Supra Du Quebec) Canadian Premier League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Foshan Nanshi FC 1:0 Guangxi Hengchen FC China League 1 | Foshan Nanshi FC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Shenzhen Juniors FC Guandong GZ-Power FC China League 1 | Guandong GZ-Power FC wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | French Guiana 1:0 Belize CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 2:1 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) Brasileiro Serie B | Sport Recife wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Olimpia 1:1 Club Nacional Asunción APF Division de Honor | Nacional wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:0 Dalian Kun City China League 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Changchun Yatai F.C. (Changchun Yatai) 1:1 Yanbian Longding China League 1 | Yanbian Longding wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) 1:1 Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) Nations League | Spain wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 1:0 Suriname CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Estudiantes de La Plata (Estudiantes La Plata) 3:0 Mendoza Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:2 Saint Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Martinique 1:1 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Martinique wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:2 Saint Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League | Saint Kitts and Nevis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Club Atlético Nueva Chicago (Nueva Chicago) 0:1 Maipu Argentine Nacional B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Deportivo Riestra (CD Riestra) 1:1 Instituto Atlético Central Córdoba (Central Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:0 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Bosnia and Herzegovina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Liptovsky Mikulas 2:0 1914 Samorin Slovakian 2. Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Uganda men's national basketball team (Uganda) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) Intl Friendlies | Congo DR wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Cúcuta Deportivo (Cucuta) 4:0 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Rafaela 2:3 CA Atlanta Argentine Nacional B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Pasto 0:0 Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Turks and Caicos Islands 3:0 Virgin Islands, British CONCACAF Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Tie is the result | Won |