Kalshi · American football · Basketball
man.waist is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 73.3% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 57 have settled: 25 won, 32 lost, 43.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 35 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% |
| College Football | 12 | 10 | 7 | 70.0% |
| NFL | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 6 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
man.waist mainly predicts MLB: 35 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 73.3% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 33.5%. In MLB, 12 of 35 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-08 09:04 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Braves 1:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Florida International Panthers 16:3 New Mexico State Aggies College Football | FIU -6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Kennesaw State Owls 26:27 Jacksonville State Gamecocks College Football | JVST -6.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Golden State Valkyries 52:39 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Las Vegas wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-08 | Atlanta Dream 98:101 New York Liberty WNBA | ATL -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Washington State Cougars 6:26 Fresno State Bulldogs College Football | WSU -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars College Football | BYU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Missouri Tigers 45:17 Florida Gators College Football | Florida wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | DEN +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Cleveland Browns 21:18 Carolina Panthers NFL | CAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 31:24 Missouri Tigers College Football | MSST -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Utah St. 21:10 Troy College Football | USU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 41:13 Oklahoma College Football | UGA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Iowa St. 17:31 Utah Utes College Football | UTAH -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | California Golden Bears 10:24 Clemson Tigers College Football | CLEM -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Arizona 42:17 Northern Illinois Huskies College Football | ARIZ +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | BUF -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Los Angeles Angels 10:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors College Football | STAN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | San Diego Padres 0:1 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Atlanta Braves 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Angels 2:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | CLE -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | LV -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Athletics 8:3 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Golden State Valkyries 91:71 Chicago Sky WNBA | GS -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:12 Chicago Cubs MLB | CHC -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Chicago WS 4:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | Athletics 4:12 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Athletics 6:10 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | GS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:9 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Texas Rangers 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Chicago Cubs 10:5 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | San Francisco Giants 3:0 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Texas Rangers 7:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington Nationals 2:3 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Washington Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | PHI -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | DET -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 San Diego Padres MLB | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Chicago Cubs 1:5 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Houston Astros 5:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Colorado Rockies 3:7 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Atlanta Braves 6:7 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Atlanta Winner | Won |