Kalshi · Baseball
murlonio is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 14 picks, 66.7% win rate, $419 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 32 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 32 have settled: 18 won, 14 lost, 56.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 10 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 7 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% |
| Intl Friendlies | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Leagues Cup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
murlonio mainly predicts MLB: 15 of the last 32 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 14 orders, P&L $419, ROI 33.6%. In MLB, 10 of 15 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-06 03:17 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3:0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Mallorca vs PSG Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 0:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Leagues Cup | Vancouver vs Atlante Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Golden State Valkyries 92:81 Toronto Tempo WNBA | GS +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Colorado Rockies 7:9 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | San Diego Padres 5:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota Lynx 108:100 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 49.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Phoenix Mercury 92:94 New York Liberty WNBA | Under 47.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Chicago Sky 84:83 Las Vegas Aces WNBA | Under 42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Team Vitality 2:1 FUT Esports VCT EMEA | Team Vitality to win | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:5 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 3:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Las Vegas Aces 68:84 Indiana Fever WNBA | Under 37.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Athletics 2:7 Miami MLB | Miami vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:3 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Washington 1:7 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Athletics 14:15 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Los Angeles Angels 4:5 Houston MLB | Houston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Arizona Diamondbacks 3:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | New York Yankees 2:1 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-02 | Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) 1:1 Romania men's national association football team (Romania) Intl Friendlies | Georgia vs Romania Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-02 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Intl Friendlies | Croatia vs Belgium Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Portland Fire 66:86 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Portland Fire 71:61 Connecticut Sun WNBA | Connecticut vs Portland winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | Cleveland 93:130 New NBA | NYK -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio 103:82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 4: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Lost |