Kalshi · American football · Basketball
nateserm is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 17 picks, 76.5% win rate, $497 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 23 | 23 | 11 | 47.8% |
| MLB | 15 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% |
| NFL | 13 | 13 | 10 | 76.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Serie A | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
nateserm mainly predicts NCAAF: 23 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.5% hit rate over 17 orders, P&L $497, ROI 58.9%. In NCAAF, 11 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-05 07:49 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Over 52.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | CHI Bears 23:12 New York Jets NFL | Over 43.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | CIN Bengals 17:22 JAC Jaguars NFL | Over 52.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | PHI Eagles 20:24 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14:17 Green Bay Packers NFL | GB -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | IND -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Indianapolis wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Clemson Tigers 13:41 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -14.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Tennessee 24:14 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Auburn wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Toronto Raptors 105:129 Miami Heat NBA | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Texas A&M Aggies 34:7 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Mississippi State Bulldogs 23:56 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Over 57.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Under 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Miami 3:0 Atlanta MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Over 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND +20.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Over 43.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | GB +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | San Francisco 2:3 Minnesota MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:0 San Diego MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma 2:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Inter wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Milan (Inter) 5:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | INT -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Utah Utes 43:10 Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAF | UTAH +14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:9 Charlotte NCAAF | Over 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kentucky Wildcats 17:45 Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAF | ALA -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas A&M Aggies 48:20 Arizona State Sun Devils NCAAF | TXAM +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | ORE +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | ATL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Miami (FL) 77:7 Florida A&M Rattlers NCAAF | Over 66.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | SEA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Miami 4:9 New York Mets MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | MISS -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Over 53.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Florida Gators 66:21 Florida Atlantic Owls NCAAF | Under 59.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Chicago WS 5:10 New York Mets MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Marlins 4:2 Washington Nationals MLB | MIA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Miami Dolphins 3:26 New York Giants NFL | MIA -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Minnesota Vikings 3:13 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore vs Minnesota Pro Football game: BAL Ravens wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:1 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Reds 1:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-08 | New York Yankees 5:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York Y Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 11:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina record the first goal of the game | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Argentina: 6+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Argentina Winner | Lost |