Kalshi · Baseball
notorious214 is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 55 picks, 63.6% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 27 | 27 | 18 | 66.7% |
| WNBA | 11 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| NCAAF | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLS | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
notorious214 mainly predicts MLB: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 55 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 27.0%. In MLB, 18 of 27 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 12:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | ORE -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oklahoma Sooners 13:21 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | OKLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | BYU Cougars 28:24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | ND +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Los Angeles Lakers 106:121 Denver Nuggets NBA | DEN -8.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Los Angeles Lakers 89:101 Golden State Warriors NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | LAR -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Fresno State Bulldogs 31:38 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Fresno St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | New York Liberty 83:85 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Over 170.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Sacramento Kings 103:127 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | LAL -22.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | Tulsa wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | UNT -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane 44:45 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | North Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | OKLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | MIZZ +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlanta Braves 6:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | NE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Athletics 6:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Chicago Cubs 5:7 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Diego Padres 2:3 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Seattle Mariners 9:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | San Francisco Giants 5:0 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Sparks 71:78 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Under 169.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | TEN +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Los Angeles F vs Portland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Phoenix Mercury 89:99 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Boston Red Sox 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:124 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Los Angeles Sparks 88:124 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | LV -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Colorado Rockies 4:6 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Milwaukee Brewers 5:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Sky 93:86 New York Liberty WNBA | CHI +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Las Vegas Aces 82:97 Atlanta Dream WNBA | ATL +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Sky 93:86 New York Liberty WNBA | NY -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | Over 153.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Colorado Rockies 5:11 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Golden State Valkyries 78:70 Dallas Wings WNBA | GS -4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL +2.5 | Won |