Kalshi · Football
unexpected.mandrill1470 is a UEFA Nations League pro on Kalshi: 39 picks, 74.4% win rate, $6K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | 36 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% |
| Fifa Friendly | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| China League One | 6 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% |
| Brasileirão Série B | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Major League Soccer | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| NWSL | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
unexpected.mandrill1470 mainly predicts UEFA Nations League: 36 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 74.4% hit rate over 39 orders, P&L $6K, ROI 75.3%. In UEFA Nations League, 15 of 36 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-08 05:24 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Avai 2:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileirão Série B | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Foshan Nanshi FC 1:0 Guangxi Hengchen FC China League One | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | USA 1:0 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) Fifa Friendly | USA wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Fifa Friendly | ARG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) Major League Soccer | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 3:0 North Macedonia men's national football team (North Macedonia) UEFA Nations League | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 2:1 San Marino men's national football team (San Marino) UEFA Nations League | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) 1:0 Finland men's national football team (Finland) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Moldova men's national football team (Moldova) 0:4 Slovakia men's national football team (Slovakia) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) 0:2 Bulgaria men's national football team (Bulgaria) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Estonia men's national football team (Estonia) 0:0 Iceland men's national football team (Iceland) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 1:2 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | England men's national association football team (England) 3:0 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 1:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) UEFA Nations League | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 0:0 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Fifa Friendly | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) UEFA Nations League | Faroe Islands wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Fifa Friendly | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Fifa Friendly | India wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Fifa Friendly | Both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | India men's national football team (India) 1:6 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Fifa Friendly | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Changchun Yatai F.C. (Changchun Yatai) 1:1 Yanbian Longding China League One | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | China men's national basketball team (China) 0:1 Tajikistan men's national football team (Tajikistan) Fifa Friendly | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1:0 Dalian Kun City China League One | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Nantong Zhiyun 1:0 Ningbo Professional China League One | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Changchun Yatai F.C. (Changchun Yatai) 1:1 Yanbian Longding China League One | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Wuxi Wugou 2:2 Suzhou Dongwu China League One | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) 1:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) UEFA Nations League | Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Montenegro men's national football team (Montenegro) 0:0 Armenia men's national football team (Armenia) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 0:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) UEFA Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 0:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) UEFA Nations League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) 1:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 0:0 Georgia men's national football team (Georgia) UEFA Nations League | Northern Ireland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:0 Poland men's national football team (Poland) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | France 4:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) 0:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Fifa Friendly | Rwanda wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Rwanda men's national basketball team (Rwanda) 0:0 Kenya men's national football team (Kenya) Fifa Friendly | Kenya wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) UEFA Nations League | Latvia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) UEFA Nations League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 0:1 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 0:1 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Wales men's national association football team (Wales) 0:1 Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) UEFA Nations League | Denmark wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Netherlands 2:1 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Ireland 1:1 Israel men's national football team (Israel) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 0:0 Germany UEFA Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) UEFA Nations League | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Gotham W 1:1 Angel City FC W NWSL | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) UEFA Nations League | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Malta men's national football team (Malta) 1:0 Andorra UEFA Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Umea 2:1 Hammarby Talang Ettan | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) UEFA Nations League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) UEFA Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Real Sociedad B 2:3 Granada CF LaLiga 2 | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tegevajaro 1:1 Omiya Ardija J2 League | Both Teams To Score | Won |