Kalshi · Football
IRONPRIMUS is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 71 picks, 67.6% win rate, $573 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 26 | 26 | 15 | 57.7% |
| Leagues Cup | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| ASEAN Championship | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Japan J1 League | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
IRONPRIMUS mainly predicts MLB: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 67.6% hit rate over 71 orders, P&L $573, ROI 12.9%. In MLB, 15 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-18 01:09 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Indiana wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | MIL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | SEA -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA Seahawks 30:23 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | SEA -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Milwaukee Brewers 3:2 San Diego Padres MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:0 New York Yankees MLB | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Houston Astros 6:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Dinamo Zagreb) 2:2 Viking FK Champions League | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Vélez Sarsfield (Velez Sarsfield) 1:1 Defensa y Justicia Argentina Primera Division | Velez Sarsfield vs Defensa y Justicia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:3 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Lanus vs Independiente Avellaneda Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Casa Pia A.C. (Casa Pia AC) 0:7 S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) Liga Portugal | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Jong Ajax Amsterdam 4:6 Emmen Eerste Divisie | EMM -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Rio Cuarto 0:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 1:0 Halmstad Allsvenskan | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | Intercity 0:1 Levante UD Club Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:2 Chicago Fire FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Angels 5:2 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:2 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | SK Rapid 2:0 Paide Linnameeskond (Paide) Conference League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 3:0 Juarez Leagues Cup | Salt Lake vs Juarez Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Charlotte FC 0:1 CF Pachuca Leagues Cup | Charlotte vs Pachuca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:3 Juarez Leagues Cup | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) 3:1 Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) ASEAN Championship | VIE +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) 3:1 Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) ASEAN Championship | Vietnam vs Cambodia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Singapore 1:1 Indonesia men's national football team (Indonesia) ASEAN Championship | Singapore vs Indonesia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Vietnam men's national football team (Vietnam) 3:1 Cambodia men's national football team (Cambodia) ASEAN Championship | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Gamba Osaka (Gamba) 4:3 Urawa Red Diamonds (Urawa) Japan J1 League | Gamba vs Urawa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Marinos 3:4 Kashima Antlers (Kashima) Japan J1 League | Marinos vs Kashima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Marinos 3:4 Kashima Antlers (Kashima) Japan J1 League | Marinos vs Kashima Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:5 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Chicago Cubs 3:2 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 0:1 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Europa League | PAOK vs Anderlecht Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Baltimore Orioles 1:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) Leagues Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Francisco Giants 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Tigres UANL (Tigres) 2:2 San Luis Liga MX | Tigres vs San Luis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Portland vs Salt Lake Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:1 LA Galaxy MLS | San Jose vs Los Angeles G Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Chicago WS 1:4 Houston Astros MLB | HOU -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | LAD -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 3:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Baltimore Orioles 6:7 Atlanta Braves MLB | ATL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | New York Mets 2:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Washington Nationals 2:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | AZ -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:5 Colorado Rockies MLB | COL -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Dorados de Chihuahua 8:1 Caliente de Durango Mexico LMB | Caliente de Durango vs Dorados de Chihuahua winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Defensa y Justicia 1:1 Club Atlético Aldosivi (Aldosivi) Argentina Primera Division | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 4:2 Juventude RS Brasileiro Serie B | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 1:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 11.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 9.5 | Lost |