Kalshi · Baseball
LordAlvarez is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 38 picks, 71.0% win rate, $379 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 29 won, 30 lost, 49.2% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 14 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| NCAAF | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| MLS | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie A | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
LordAlvarez mainly predicts MLB: 14 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 71.0% hit rate over 38 orders, P&L $379, ROI 16.5%. In MLB, 8 of 14 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-11 02:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Toronto FC 2:1 Montreal MLS | Montreal wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) 3:2 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Denver Nuggets 97:109 Utah Jazz NBA | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Costa Rica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 3:2 Anguilla CONCACAF Nations League | Anguilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Los Angeles Dodgers 1:5 San Diego MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Texas 7:3 Boston MLB | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | America FC 0:2 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) Brasileiro Serie B | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Club Atlético Banfield (Banfield) 1:1 Barracas Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) 1:2 Austin FC MLS | Austin wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Detroit Tigers 2:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Atlanta Braves 1:7 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | San Francisco Giants 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Notre Dame to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Botafogo FC 0:0 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | Washington wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Botafogo FC 0:0 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Palmeiras wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | S.C. Corinthians Paulista (Corinthians) 1:2 Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (Chapecoense) Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Eastern Michigan Eagles 21:27 San Jose St. NCAAF | Eastern Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Aston Villa vs Arsenal Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Coquimbo 0:1 Club Deportivo Huachipato (CD Huachipato) Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato wins | Pending |
| 2026-08-31 | Rivadavia 3:1 Racing Club (Racing Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Cienciano 1:2 Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 2:1 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 1:2 Como 1907 Serie A | Napoli vs Como Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle 2:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Seattle vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | Virginia to win | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle 2:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Seattle vs Chicago Fire Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Cobresal (CD Cobresal) 2:0 C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Llaneros 0:2 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Jaguares 1:1 Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Jaguares vs Once Caldas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Defensor 0:1 Wanderers Uruguay Primera Division | Defensor vs Wanderers Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Kristiansund BK 2:1 Molde FK Eliteserien | Kristiansund vs Molde Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Leagues Cup | Miami vs Monterrey Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Miami Marlins 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Beitar Jerusalem F.C. (Beitar Jerusalem) 1:2 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Conference League | Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 4:2 Al-Arabi SC (Al Arabi Doha) Club Friendlies | Malaga vs Al Arabi Doha Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Lanzarote 1:2 Getxo rowing club (Getxo) Club Friendlies | Lanzarote vs Getxo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Lanzarote 1:2 Getxo rowing club (Getxo) Club Friendlies | Lanzarote vs Getxo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Paide Linnameeskond (Paide) 1:4 SK Rapid Conference League | Paide vs SK Rapid Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Sparta Rotterdam (SPARTA) 1:2 BET-M 33 CS2 | SPARTA to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 4:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Nashville SC 0:1 Leon Leagues Cup | Nashville vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3:0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Mallorca vs PSG Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Cultural Leonesa 1:1 Aviles Club Friendlies | Cultural Leonesa vs Aviles Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Karmine Corp GC 0:2 SK Nebula VCT Game Changers EMEA | Karmine Corp GC to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | LUA Gaming 1:2 GIANTX PRIDE LES | LUA Gaming to win | Lost |