Kalshi · Baseball
Mudfresh is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 89 picks, 80.9% win rate, $617 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 42 won, 18 lost, 70.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 26 | 26 | 20 | 76.9% |
| NFL | 15 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% |
| NCAAF | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% |
| Premier League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Allsvenskan | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Serie A | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Mudfresh mainly predicts MLB: 26 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.9% hit rate over 89 orders, P&L $617, ROI 18.8%. In MLB, 20 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-13 02:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | IF Elfsborg 4:0 Halmstad Allsvenskan | Elfsborg wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 3:1 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | Atalanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | New England Patriots 45:17 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | New England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jacksonville wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Cleveland Guardians 2:0 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-08 | Ucv Moquegua 0:2 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | New York Yankees 3:4 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | NYY -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | New Orleans wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:35 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | South Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Cleveland Guardians 0:3 Chicago White Sox MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Greece wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Chicago White Sox 4:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Detroit Tigers 2:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Liverpool W 2:0 Everton FC W English Women's Super League | Liverpool wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Commanders 33:31 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Philadelphia 1:12 Tampa Bay MLB | TB -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Kansas City 5:11 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Minnesota 2:6 Texas MLB | TEX -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Chicago WS 6:9 Colorado MLB | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Toronto 1:5 Cincinnati MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Detroit 4:3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Baylor Bears 23:13 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Baylor wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Washington 1:7 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 49:14 Sam Houston Bearkats NCAAF | Texas Tech wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | KTP Kotka 1:1 Mikkelin Finnish Ykkosliiga | MIP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Yankees 6:4 Tampa Bay MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Kansas City 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 2:1 St. Louis MLB | Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | CHI Bears 3:9 MIN Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Nice 2:1 Lille OSC (Lille) Ligue 1 | Nice wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 7:4 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:1 Detroit Tigers MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Rio Ave F.C. (Rio Ave FC) 3:3 C.F. Estrela da Amadora (Estrela Amadora) Liga Portugal | ESA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 27:13 Miami Dolphins NFL | Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24:22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | SV Elversberg (Elversberg) 1:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | BMU +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) 0:2 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Oklahoma St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | STL +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 5:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston wins | Won |