Kalshi · Baseball
SmoothJoe is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 93.8% win rate, $863 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 51 won, 9 lost, 85.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 30 | 30 | 26 | 86.7% |
| NBA Summer League | 13 | 13 | 11 | 84.6% |
| Japan NPB | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| WNBA | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| APF Division de Honor | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
SmoothJoe mainly predicts MLB: 30 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 93.8% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $863, ROI 39.5%. In MLB, 26 of 30 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-11 13:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Chunichi Dragons 5:2 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-11 | San Francisco Giants 3:6 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Los Angeles Angels 1:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Seattle Storm 97:88 Chicago Sky WNBA | Chicago vs Seattle women's Pro Basketball game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Atlanta Braves 5:8 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 2:1 Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Libertad vs Trinidense Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 2:1 Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Libertad vs Trinidense Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Seattle Reign FC 2:2 Angel City FC NWSL | Seattle Reign vs Angel City FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | San Diego FC vs Tijuana de Caliente Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego Padres 7:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 78:84 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | Golden State vs Los Angeles women's Pro Basketball game: Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | San Francisco Giants 1:3 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Minnesota Lynx 103:90 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs Minnesota women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Philadelphia Phillies 7:6 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Athletics 2:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Houston Astros 2:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | New York Yankees 2:8 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Toronto Blue Jays 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Cleveland Guardians 1:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Yomiuri Giants 1:5 Chunichi Dragons Japan NPB | Chunichi Dragons vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Orix Buffaloes 0:7 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 128:120 Minnesota NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Seattle Mariners 0:7 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Los Angeles Angels 1:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | Houston Astros 2:3 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Kansas City Royals 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Kansas City Royals 7:6 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | America FC 1:1 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | America FC vs Londrina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-13 | New 86:75 Detroit NBA Summer League | New York to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Las Vegas Aces 75:109 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Las Vegas winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Milwaukee 80:90 San Antonio NBA Summer League | San Antonio to win | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | Washington 104:85 Sacramento Kings (Sacramento) NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Portland Fire (Portland) 105:112 Orlando NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:5 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Golden 104:79 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Golden State to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Francisco Giants 3:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Boston 87:75 Charlotte NBA Summer League | Boston to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit 103:94 Cleveland NBA Summer League | Detroit to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres 5:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Washington Nationals 3:5 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1:12 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Dallas Wings (Dallas) 70:91 Los Angeles Lakers NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:9 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Philadelphia 100:93 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Philadelphia to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco Giants 4:2 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Charlotte 91:95 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Charlotte to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 96:84 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers 30:21 Toronto Argonauts CFL | Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Memphis 97:96 Chicago NBA Summer League | Memphis to win | Won |