Kalshi · Football
Vespertilio is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 83.7% win rate, $645 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 54 won, 6 lost, 90.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 17 | 17 | 14 | 82.4% |
| MLB | 13 | 13 | 13 | 100.0% |
| Eliteserien | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| USL Championship | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Peru Liga 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
Vespertilio mainly predicts World Cup: 17 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 83.7% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $645, ROI 13.9%. In World Cup, 14 of 17 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-13 09:58 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Al Masry SC (Al Masry) 0:1 Pyramids FC (Pyramids) Egyptian Premier League | Pyramids wins | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 8:9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | CSKA Sofia 1:3 Maccabi Tel Aviv F.C. (Maccabi Tel Aviv FC) Europa League | CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Maccabi Tel Aviv To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Boulogne 0:1 FC Rouen (Rouen) Club Friendlies | Boulogne vs Rouen Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) 1:0 FC Nantes Club Friendlies | Le Mans vs Nantes Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Torino FC 0:1 Cittadella Club Friendlies | Torino vs Cittadella Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | C.D. Tenerife (CD Tenerife) 1:2 Getafe CF Club Friendlies | Tenerife vs Getafe Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Libertad Loja 1:0 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) 0:1 America Liga MX | Queretaro vs America Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Molde FK 1:2 SK Brann Eliteserien | Molde vs Brann Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Viking FK 2:1 Sandefjord BK (Sandefjord) Eliteserien | Viking vs Sandefjord Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | IK Start 0:3 Rosenborg BK Eliteserien | Start vs Rosenborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Kristiansund BK 0:0 Sarpsborg 08 FF (Sarpsborg) Eliteserien | Kristiansund vs Sarpsborg Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Lillestroem 2:1 KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) Eliteserien | Lillestroem vs KFUM Oslo Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Chicago Cubs 2:5 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Nashville SC 1:0 Atlanta United FC MLS | Nashville vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | Club Nacional de Football 1:2 Wanderers Uruguay Primera Division | Nacional vs Wanderers Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Club Sporting Cristal (Sporting Cristal) 1:0 Club Deportivo Garcilaso (Deportivo Garcilaso) Peru Liga 1 | Sporting Cristal vs Deportivo Garcilaso Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | FC Cajamarca 2:2 Juan Pablo II College Sports Club Association (Juan Pablo II College) Peru Liga 1 | FC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Mjällby AIF (Mjallby) 0:0 Vasteraas SK Allsvenskan | Mjallby vs Vasteraas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Goteborg 2:1 IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan | Goteborg vs Brommapojkarna Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Detroit Tigers 2:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | San Diego 1:3 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Samsung Lions 6:5 LG Twins Korea KBO | LG Twins vs Samsung Lions winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Washington 3:6 Houston MLB | Houston vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | COL +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Los Angeles Angels 1:8 Boston MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 93:91 Miami NBA Summer League | Miami to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Houston 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Tampa Bay vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Kansas City 5:2 Philadelphia MLB | Philadelphia vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Chicago Cubs 0:3 St. Louis MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | New Mexico United 2:1 Oakland Roots SC USL Championship | New Mexico United vs Oakland Roots SC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Colorado 4:6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco vs Colorado Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | San Antonio FC 0:0 Monterey Bay FC USL Championship | San Antonio vs Monterey Bay FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Seattle Storm 72:77 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Seattle winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Louisville City FC 1:0 Hartford Athletic USL Championship | Louisville City vs Hartford Athletic Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) 0:2 Brooklyn FC USL Championship | Pittsburgh vs Brooklyn FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Cleveland 6:7 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Rhode Island FC 1:1 Orange County SC USL Championship | Rhode Island FC vs Orange County Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | British Columbia Lions Edmonton Elks CFL | British Columbia Lions to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Cincinnati 2:3 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Utah 103:102 Atlanta NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Texas 0:3 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |