Kalshi · Basketball
abistate is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 87.9% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 57 have settled: 37 won, 20 lost, 64.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 11 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| NBA | 9 | 9 | 8 | 88.9% |
| NCAAF | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Argentina Primera Division | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
abistate mainly predicts NFL: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 87.9% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 24.8%. In NFL, 4 of 9 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-19 01:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | New York Giants 10:17 New Orleans Saints NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Under 1.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | C.J. Stroud: 275+ passing yards | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 31:34 Houston Texans NFL | Houston wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | FC Machida Zelvia 3:0 Avispa Fukuoka (Avispa) Japan J1 League | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Oregon Ducks 17:14 Nebraska Cornhuskers NCAAF | Nebraska wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:1 Nashville SC MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leon 3:5 America Liga MX | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 1:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Bulldogs 24:27 Auburn Tigers NCAAF | Auburn wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Valencia 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Indiana Hoosiers 15:19 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:3 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Los Angeles Lakers 106:121 Denver Nuggets NBA | Under 228.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Los Angeles Lakers 106:121 Denver Nuggets NBA | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Phoenix Suns 116:119 Utah Jazz (Jazz) NBA | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Phoenix Suns 116:119 Utah Jazz (Jazz) NBA | Phoenix wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Golden State Warriors 128:118 Portland Trail Blazers NBA | Golden State wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Club Necaxa 0:2 Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) Liga MX | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Boca Juniors 2:1 Talleres de Córdoba (Talleres Cordoba) Argentina Primera Division | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) 2:0 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Associação Atlética Ponte Preta (Ponte Preta) 1:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Defensa y Justicia 0:1 Instituto Cordoba Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Club Atlético Huracán (Huracan) 1:2 Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Under 233.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Clippers 122:110 Denver Nuggets NBA | Los Angeles C wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | San Diego FC 3:3 Houston MLS | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junin 1:1 Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) Argentina Primera Division | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) 1:1 Pereira Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Anadolu Efes 93:101 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) EuroLeague | Bayern Munich wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz (Jazz) 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | Utah wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Denver Nuggets 133:128 Chicago Bulls NBA | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Cusco FC 1:2 Club Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | CF Pachuca 3:3 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Bahia 1:0 Mirassol Futebol Clube (Mirassol FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Clube de Regatas do Flamengo (Flamengo) 1:0 Fluminense F.C. (Fluminense FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Washington Commanders 27:27 New York Giants NFL | New York G wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari Calcio 1:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars 19:17 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Oklahoma 27:24 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | California Golden Bears 25:20 Virginia Tech Hokies NCAAF | Virginia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Viseu 2:1 G.D. Estoril Praia (Estoril) Liga Portugal | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | AFC Ajax 1:1 N.E.C. (Nijmegen) Eredivisie | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 3:1 Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) Ligue 1 | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Real Madrid 1:0 Villarreal CF La Liga | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Army Black Knights 20:17 Tulane Green Wave NCAAF | Army wins | Won |