Kalshi · Football
ambr3w is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 66.7% win rate, $394 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 30 won, 29 lost, 50.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 10 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| MLS | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
ambr3w mainly predicts Nations League: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $394, ROI 23.3%. In Nations League, 3 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-21 04:37 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) 4:2 FC Barcelona Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Trabzonspor 2:0 Besiktas Super Lig | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Uni Cluj 2:2 Champions FC Arges Romanian Liga I | Uni Cluj wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-19 | Cali 0:0 Junior de Barranquilla (Junior) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-18 | Leon 3:5 America Liga MX | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-18 | Leon 3:5 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlanta 1:3 Inter Miami CF MLS | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Atlanta 1:3 Inter Miami CF MLS | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Cleveland Guardians Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | AS Roma 2:0 Genoa CFC (Genoa) Serie A | Roma wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Valencia 0:0 Bilbao La Liga | Bilbao wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-17 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 0:1 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Premier League | Aston Villa wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 0:1 Atletico La Liga | Atletico wins | Won |
| 2026-10-17 | Cerezo Osaka (Cerezo) 2:4 Frontale Japan J1 League | Frontale wins | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) 1:1 Levante UD La Liga | Levante wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Henan F.C. (Henan FC) 0:1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger F.C. (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger) Chinese Super League | Henan wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:3 Besiktas Europa League | Besiktas wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | San Jose wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) 1:1 San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) MLS | Salt Lake wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 0:0 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Saint Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Miami Heat (Heat) 144:128 Brooklyn Nets NBA | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Inter Miami CF 2:0 New York City FC MLS | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Millonarios Once Caldas Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Millonarios wins | Pending |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) Premier League | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Lexington SC 0:0 FC Tulsa USL Championship | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Lexington SC 0:0 FC Tulsa USL Championship | Lexington SC wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 0:3 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Montevideo City Torque (Montevideo City) 1:0 Danubio F.C. (Danubio FC) Uruguay Primera Division | Montevideo City wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Qingdao Hainiu F.C. (Qingdao Hainiu) 0:3 Beijing Guoan Chinese Super League | Beijing Guoan wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Ratchaburi FC 6:0 Sukhothai Thai League 1 | Ratchaburi wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Kashima Antlers (Kashima) 2:0 Gamba Osaka (Gamba) Japan J1 League | Kashima wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Persik Kediri 2:0 Madura United F.C. (Madura United) Indonesia Super League | Persik Kediri wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Los Angeles Lakers 114:110 Sacramento Kings NBA | Los Angeles L wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Oaxaca 2:1 Correcaminos UAT (Correcaminos) Liga de Expansion MX | Correcaminos wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | Ucv Moquegua 0:2 Cienciano Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | French Guiana 1:0 Belize CONCACAF Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 0:2 Chile Intl Friendlies | Chile wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) 1:2 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 1:0 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Poland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | Costa Rica 2:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) CONCACAF Nations League | Haiti wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Suriname 0:0 Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Guatemala men's national football team (Guatemala) 6:0 El Salvador men's national football team (El Salvador) CONCACAF Nations League | Guatemala wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 0:0 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 0:0 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Hungary wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Belgium wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Norway wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Sint Maarten 0:1 Belize CONCACAF Nations League | Belize wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | FC Barcelona W 5:2 Paris FC W Women's Champions League | BAR -3.5 | Lost |