Kalshi · Football
amused.alpaca4412 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 47 picks, 61.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 39 | 39 | 23 | 59.0% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Mexico LNBP | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
amused.alpaca4412 mainly predicts World Cup: 39 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.7% hit rate over 47 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 29.9%. In World Cup, 23 of 39 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-26 05:35 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Lobos de Puebla 96:93 El Calor de Cancun Mexico LNBP | El Calor de Cancun vs Lobos de Puebla: Lobos de Puebla wins | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Santos Del Potosi 87:86 Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP | Mineros de Zacatecas vs Santos Del Potosi: Mineros de Zacatecas wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Boca Juniors 1:0 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | BOC +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Cuiabá Esporte Clube (Cuiaba) 0:1 Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) Brasileiro Serie B | Cuiaba vs AC Goianiense Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-24 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) 1:1 Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Emelec vs Mushuc Runa Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Junin 2:3 Argentinos Juniors Argentina Primera Division | Junin vs Argentinos Juniors Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Botafogo FC 0:0 Vitoria Brasileiro Serie A | Botafogo vs Vitoria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | St. Louis Cardinals 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Toronto Blue Jays 3:1 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Rijeka 1:0 Derry City F.C. (Derry City FC) Conference League | Rijeka vs Derry City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | FC Cincinnati 4:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Cincinnati vs Vancouver Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 1:2 Pumas UNAM Liga MX | Toluca vs Pumas UNAM Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Arizona Diamondbacks 6:5 Athletics MLB | A's vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | France vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Tijuana de Caliente 3:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Barcelona vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Leones 1:1 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Cuenca Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland win in Penalty Shootout | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Croatia vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | Norway vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:3 Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) FIFA World Cup | Czechia vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 4:2 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Morocco vs Haiti Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | BIH -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 3:1 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | BIH -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Canada Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Panama vs Croatia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:2 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Jordan vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | New Zealand vs Egypt Winner | Lost |