Kalshi · Football
arbfather615 is a NCAAF pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 63.8% win rate, $5K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCAAF | 31 | 31 | 15 | 48.4% |
| NFL | 22 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% |
| MLB | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
arbfather615 mainly predicts NCAAF: 31 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.8% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $5K, ROI 14.8%. In NCAAF, 15 of 31 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 10:53 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Old Dominion Monarchs 15:23 Georgia Southern Eagles NCAAF | GASO +9.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Old Dominion Monarchs 15:23 Georgia Southern Eagles NCAAF | Under 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | Old Dominion Monarchs 15:23 Georgia Southern Eagles NCAAF | GASO +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ECU -14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Old Dominion Monarchs 15:23 Georgia Southern Eagles NCAAF | Old Dominion wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Texas State Bobcats 66:27 Colorado State Rams NCAAF | Over 75.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-16 | UAB Blazers 30:17 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Marvin Mims Jr.: 40+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Cleveland Guardians 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | WKU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Sam Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Sam Houston Bearkats 3:16 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | Western Kentucky wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27:24 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Under 55.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | UTA -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | 1H Over 115.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Utah Jazz 119:109 San Antonio Spurs NBA | 1H Over 117.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Khalil Shakir: 120+ receiving yards | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Arizona Cardinals 21:45 Detroit Lions NFL | Over 66.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Over 45.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | MIN +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Over 47.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | SF +14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New York Giants 12:7 Tennessee Titans NFL | Tennessee wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Wyoming Cowboys 27:10 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | Hawai'i wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Purdue Boilermakers 10:49 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAF | Over 54.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | KC -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | JAC -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | DAL +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17:24 New Orleans Saints NFL | New Orleans wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tennessee Titans 20:24 PHI Eagles NFL | PHI -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Boise State Broncos 38:24 South Dakota Coyotes NCAAF | BSU +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | MISS +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | LSU to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles 20:48 UConn Huskies NCAAF | Under 62.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | UCF Knights 44:30 Georgia State Panthers NCAAF | UCF +13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Rice Owls 21:28 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | WMU +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 27:20 Nevada Wolf Pack NCAAF | Under 50.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | Over 75.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Under 81.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | South Carolina Gamecocks 34:41 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | MSST +2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Under 69.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ohio St. 59:3 Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF | OSU -51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | UNC +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Over 51.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ohio St. 59:3 Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF | OSU +34.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ohio St. 59:3 Kent State Golden Flashes NCAAF | OSU +57.5 | Won |