Kalshi · Football
atomic.carp4183 is a MLS pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 65.8% win rate, $13K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 45 won, 15 lost, 75.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 8 | 8 | 7 | 87.5% |
| Premier League | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Europa League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Liga MX | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
atomic.carp4183 mainly predicts MLS: 8 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.8% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $13K, ROI 22.2%. In MLS, 7 of 8 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt (Frankfurt) 1:0 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) Bundesliga | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Newcastle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | BEN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 3:1 Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham Forest FC) Premier League | Crystal Palace wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Blaublitz Akita 2:2 Albirex Japan J2 League | Blaublitz A wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 3:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Orlando US Open Cup | Reg Time: Orlando wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Kansas City 3:1 Los Angeles FC MLS | Kansas City wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Chicago Fire FC 1:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Chicago Fire wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 1:1 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Brentford wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) 3:1 S.C. Internacional (SC Internacional) Copa do Brasil | Reg Time: Internacional wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 Frosinone Calcio Coppa Italia | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-31 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1:3 San Luis Liga MX | Monterrey wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 5:2 Ipswich Town F.C. (Ipswich Town FC) Premier League | Manchester United vs Ipswich Town Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Groningen 2:3 Sittard Eredivisie | Sittard wins | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Bodoe/Glimt 3:0 N.E.C. (Nijmegen) Champions League | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Málaga CF (Malaga) 1:1 Deportivo de A Coruña (Deportivo De La Coruna) La Liga | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 2:3 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Fulham vs Chelsea Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Pumas UNAM 1:1 Club Necaxa Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Necaxa Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Los Angeles F vs Portland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Los Angeles FC 1:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Inter Miami CF 1:2 Toronto FC MLS | Miami vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) 1:2 Real Madrid La Liga | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 3:1 Aarhus Europa League | SL Benfica vs Aarhus Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Tolima 0:1 Ind. del Valle CONMEBOL Libertadores | Tolima vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tolima 0:1 Ind. del Valle CONMEBOL Libertadores | IND -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Club Atlético Lanús (Lanus) 1:3 Club Atlético Independiente (Independiente Avellaneda) Argentina Primera Division | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | BK Häcken (BK Hacken) 1:0 Halmstad Allsvenskan | BK Hacken vs Halmstad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Seattle 0:2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire FC 2:1 Portland Fire (Portland) MLS | Under 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 2:0 Argentinos Juniors Argentina Primera Division | River Plate vs Argentinos Juniors Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | SS Lazio 0:2 Mantova 1911 Coppa Italia | Lazio vs Mantova Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Schalke 04 (Schalke) 0:3 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | Schalke vs Real Madrid Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Schalke 04 (Schalke) 0:3 Real Madrid Club Friendlies | RMA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Djurgarden 1:3 AIK Allsvenskan | Djurgarden vs AIK Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Feyenoord Rotterdam (Feyenoord) 2:2 GA Eagles Eredivisie | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 2:1 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Atlas vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | San Jose vs Saint Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Portland Thorns FC 2:1 Orlando Pride NWSL | Portland Thorns vs Orlando Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | AC Milan 4:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Club Friendlies | Milan vs Manchester United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Gotham FC (Gotham) 2:1 Kansas City Current NWSL | Gotham vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | MUN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 2:1 Trinidense APF Division de Honor | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Libertad Loja 2:1 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Uni Catolica Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | C.D. Santa Clara (Santa Clara Azores) 2:2 CD Nacional Liga Portugal | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | Plymouth vs Exeter: Plymouth To Advance | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | PA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Plymouth Argyle F.C. (Plymouth) 2:0 Exeter EFL Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Orlando Pride 1:3 Racing Louisville FC NWSL | Orlando vs Racing Louisville Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Portland Fire (Portland) 5:2 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 6:1 Heart of Midlothian F.C. (Heart of Midlothian FC) Europa League | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | PAOK FC (PAOK) 0:1 R.S.C. Anderlecht (Anderlecht) Europa League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | FC Hradec Králové 0:1 Besiktas Europa League | Hradec Kralove vs Besiktas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) 1:2 Orlando Leagues Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 3:0 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Club Friendlies | Mallorca vs PSG Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 2:0 SK Sturm Graz (Sturm Graz) Champions League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 0:1 Juventus FC Club Friendlies | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Union Gilloise 3:3 Bodoe/Glimt Champions League | Union Gilloise vs Bodoe/Glimt Winner | Lost |