Kalshi · Baseball
black.grave is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 46 picks, 80.4% win rate, $842 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 21 | 21 | 11 | 52.4% |
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% |
| Nations League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| WNBA | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Premier League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
black.grave mainly predicts NFL: 21 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.4% hit rate over 46 orders, P&L $842, ROI 24.1%. In NFL, 11 of 21 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-04 23:04 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Buffalo Bills 26:29 New England Patriots NFL | BUF -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Tyler Warren: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | Northwestern Wildcats 34:13 Penn St. NCAAF | PSU -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | France 1:1 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | Las Vegas Aces 94:83 Indiana Fever WNBA | A'ja Wilson: 25+ points | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | DK Metcalf: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | PIT -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Washington Mystics 75:93 Atlanta Dream WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | New York Y wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | New York Liberty 87:71 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | MIN -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Houston Astros 3:6 Chicago White Sox MLB | CWS +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Atlanta Braves 5:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | PHI +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 0:2 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 0:0 Belarus men's national football team (Belarus) Nations League | Team Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Jalen Hurts: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Blake Corum: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Bo Nix: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Atlanta Dream 92:77 Washington Mystics WNBA | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdowns | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Dallas Cowboys 31:34 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Trey McBride: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Stanford Cardinal 34:27 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets NCAAF | Georgia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | LSU Tigers 35:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | LSU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | USC Trojans 27:41 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | USC wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Florida wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | IND -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Kansas City 9:12 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 0:2 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) Nations League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | BOS +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Green Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Miami MLB | MIA +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Detroit 2:4 Washington MLB | WSH +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago Cubs 2:8 Miami MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Philadelphia 6:4 Milwaukee MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | TB +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Phoenix Mercury 87:86 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR -5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DEN Broncos 20:13 JAC Jaguars NFL | DEN -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham F.C. (Fulham FC) 1:1 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 0:0 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Premier League | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | FLA -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Alabama Crimson Tide 50:36 Florida State Seminoles NCAAF | Alabama wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas A&M Aggies 21:31 Kentucky Wildcats NCAAF | TXAM -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Louisville wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma 2:2 Inter Milan (Inter) Serie A | Roma wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (Brighton) 3:0 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Premier League | Team Under 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 20:33 Miami (FL) NCAAF | Under 57.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7:0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | Team Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Washington Nationals 0:3 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Under 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | DAL -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars 34:10 Cleveland Browns NFL | JAC -7.5 | Won |