Kalshi · Football
bucketpicks is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 41 picks, 66.7% win rate, $401 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 30 won, 29 lost, 50.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 26 | 15 | 57.7% |
| MLB | 19 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% |
| NFL | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% |
| NCAAF | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| Belgian Pro League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
bucketpicks mainly predicts World Cup: 27 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 41 orders, P&L $401, ROI 12.2%. In World Cup, 15 of 26 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-07 10:05 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Oklahoma City Thunder 110:116 New Orleans Pelicans NBA | Oklahoma City wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Atlanta Braves 1:3 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sacramento Kings 103:127 Los Angeles Lakers NBA | Under 211.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | USC Trojans 25:21 Washington NCAAF | USC -17.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Virginia Tech Hokies 33:35 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) NCAAF | Virginia Tech wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19:23 CLE Browns NFL | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | KAA Gent (Gent) 2:1 Standard Belgian Pro League | Gent wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7:0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-18 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | Team Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:5 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Cleveland Guardians 0:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Houston Astros 5:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Chicago WS 2:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago WS First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Detroit Tigers 5:8 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Detroit First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Miami Marlins 8:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | New York Mets 14:3 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs New York M First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:4 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Detroit Tigers 4:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Pending |
| 2026-07-18 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 108:94 Washington NBA Summer League | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-13 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane scores first in entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) and England advances | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Chicago WS 1:0 Athletics MLB | A's vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | FRA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Detroit 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Atlanta 9:10 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |