Kalshi · Baseball
cap.tale is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 69.7% win rate, $289 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 42 | 42 | 24 | 57.1% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| La Liga | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| NFL | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Serie A | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
cap.tale mainly predicts MLB: 42 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 69.7% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $289, ROI 19.4%. In MLB, 24 of 42 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-15 10:16 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Chicago WS wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago White Sox 3:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pittsburgh wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | San Diego Padres 4:1 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Team Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | ATL -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | Atlanta Braves 3:4 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD -8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-30 | San Diego Padres 8:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | SD -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Oregon Ducks 84:0 Portland State Vikings NCAAF | ORE +78.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers 8:2 San Francisco MLB | LAD -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Arda Guler: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Elche CF 2:3 Real Madrid La Liga | Yan Diomande: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 2:1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (Espanyol) La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 Miami Marlins MLB | MIA +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Los Angeles Angels 6:4 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 5:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Toronto wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Milan (Inter) 5:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | INT -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Milan (Inter) 5:3 Udinese Calcio Serie A | INT -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletics 6:5 Seattle Mariners MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | LAD -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | MICH -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Baylor wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Boise St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | AUB +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Stanford Cardinal 6:45 Miami (FL) NCAAF | MIA -23.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CHC -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Kansas City Royals 9:5 Athletics MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | New York Mets 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Chicago WS 8:9 Cincinnati Reds MLB | CIN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Boston Red Sox 12:11 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-06 | Seattle Mariners 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 5:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Colorado Rockies 9:13 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | TB -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 6:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:8 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 0:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET -5.5 | Won |