Kalshi · Football · Baseball · Top pro
chill.drop is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 135 picks, 81.5% win rate, $4K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 45 won, 15 lost, 75.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| Champions League | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| La Liga 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Liga MX | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
chill.drop mainly predicts Nations League: 11 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.5% hit rate over 135 orders, P&L $4K, ROI 32.2%. In Nations League, 7 of 11 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 00:56 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 3:2 Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) Europa League | Lyon wins | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:4 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Champions League | PSG wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | AS Roma 3:4 Real Madrid Champions League | Real Madrid wins | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Boca Juniors 0:1 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Bucaramanga 1:1 Aguilas Doradas Rionegro Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 1:4 FC Barcelona Champions League | Barcelona wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Sporting CP wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Sabah Masazir 2:0 SK Slavia Prague (Slavia Prague) Champions League | Slavia Prague wins | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | R.C. Lens (Lens) 0:2 Sporting CP Champions League | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:7 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Tampa Bay wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 1:0 Ceará Sporting Club (Ceara) Brasileiro Serie B | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Coventry wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Nassr Club 3:1 Neftchi AFC Champions League | Al Nassr wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Al Nassr Club 3:1 Neftchi AFC Champions League | Neftchi wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atalanta BC (Atalanta) 3:1 Venezia F.C. (Venezia FC) Serie A | Atalanta wins | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (KFUM Oslo) 2:1 Vålerenga Fotball (Valerenga) Eliteserien | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Burgos CF 0:1 Granada CF La Liga 2 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Modern 3:2 ENPPI SC (Enppi) Egyptian Premier League | Modern wins | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Jamaica men's national association football team (Jamaica) 0:1 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Libertad (Libertad) 0:1 Olimpia APF Division de Honor | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Suriname 2:1 Martinique CONCACAF Nations League | Suriname wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Suriname 2:1 Martinique CONCACAF Nations League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:0 Bonaire CONCACAF Nations League | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | San Lorenzo 0:0 CD Recoleta APF Division de Honor | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Leganes 0:2 Castellon La Liga 2 | Castellon wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Turkiye 1:4 Italy men's national association football team (Italy) Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 3:1 Poland men's national football team (Poland) Nations League | Sweden wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | France wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 0:1 France Nations League | Charles De Ketelaere: First Goalscorer | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Northern Ireland men's national association football team (Northern Ireland) 0:0 Hungary men's national football team (Hungary) Nations League | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Club Necaxa 2:4 America Liga MX | America wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Fortaleza Fútbol Club (Fortaleza CEIF) 2:2 Tolima Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Jaguares 1:2 Alianza Fútbol Club (Alianza FC Valledupar) Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Bolivia men's national football team (Bolivia) 0:2 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) Intl Friendlies | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Maipu 1:0 Club Atlético Temperley (Temperley) Argentine Nacional B | Maipu wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Jacksonville Jaguars 35:6 New England Patriots NFL | Under 42.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:2 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) Nations League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Germany wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Washington Nationals 6:4 New York Mets MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Pumas UNAM 2:3 San Luis Liga MX | San Luis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Under 51.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) 1:2 Netherlands Nations League | Netherlands wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:0 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Nations League | Denmark wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 0:1 Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) La Liga 2 | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Germany 0:1 Greece men's national football team (Greece) Nations League | Greece wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Central Español (Central Espanol FC) 1:2 Liverpool F.C. (Montevideo) (Liverpool Montevideo) Uruguay Primera Division | Liverpool M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Chelsea W 1:0 Arsenal Women English Women's Super League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | RCD Mallorca (Mallorca) 0:1 Unión Deportiva Almería (UD Almería) La Liga 2 | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) Intl Friendlies | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Philadelphia 4:2 Orlando MLS | Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | C.D. Guadalajara (CD Guadalajara) 0:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 3:3 Toluca FC (Toluca) Liga MX | Toluca wins | Won |