Kalshi · Football
clay.soil is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 16 picks, 62.5% win rate, $683 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 41 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 41 have settled: 20 won, 21 lost, 48.8% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 23 | 23 | 12 | 52.2% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| NBA | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA Summer League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
clay.soil mainly predicts World Cup: 23 of the last 41 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.5% hit rate over 16 orders, P&L $683, ROI 32.0%. In World Cup, 12 of 23 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-06 10:28 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Michigan wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Utah St. 17:29 Idaho State Bengals NCAAF | Idaho St. wins | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | Boise St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | Baylor wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 49:21 Ohio Bobcats NCAAF | Ohio wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Purdue Boilermakers 44:19 Indiana State Sycamores NCAAF | Indiana St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Utah Utes 66:14 Idaho Vandals NCAAF | Idaho wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 38:16 Akron Zips NCAAF | Akron wins | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92:88 Utah NBA Summer League | Washington to win | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Congo DR Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | England vs Ghana Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | Portugal win the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | England men's national association football team (England) 0:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | ENG -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-23 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 5:0 Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) FIFA World Cup | POR -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | France 3:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | FRA -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Austria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-21 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 2:2 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) 0:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Scotland vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | FRA -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Game 1: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Game 6: Oklahoma City at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 127:114 San Antonio NBA | Game 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-25 | Pumas UNAM 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-24 | Pumas UNAM 1:2 Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) Liga MX | Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio 103:82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | SAS -2.5 | Won |