Kalshi · Football
david21k is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 101 picks, 68.3% win rate, $217 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 37 won, 23 lost, 61.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 12 | 12 | 9 | 75.0% |
| FIFA World Cup | 12 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 10 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% |
| NBA Summer League | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| NWSL | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Japan NPB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
david21k mainly predicts MLB: 12 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.3% hit rate over 101 orders, P&L $217, ROI 12.9%. In MLB, 9 of 12 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-10 10:58 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WLLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers 14:1 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 7:6 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Athletics 2:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 2:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 2:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) 2:1 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | LDU Quito vs Delfin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Utah Royals FC 5:1 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Utah Royals vs Portland Thorns Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | LEO +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Seattle Mariners 7:6 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Leones 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Barcelona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Utah Royals FC 5:1 Portland Thorns FC NWSL | Utah Royals vs Portland Thorns Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Macara 2:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Macara vs Guayaquil City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington 0:1 San Diego Wave FC NWSL | Washington vs San Diego Wave FC Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington 0:1 San Diego Wave FC NWSL | WSP +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Washington 0:1 San Diego Wave FC NWSL | Washington vs San Diego Wave FC Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Ind. del Valle 1:0 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Ind. del Valle vs Cuenca Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Ind. del Valle 1:0 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Ind. del Valle vs Cuenca Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Ind. del Valle 1:0 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | IND +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Ind. del Valle 1:0 C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) Ecuador LigaPro | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Yomiuri Giants 1:2 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Yomiuri Giants 1:2 Yokohama DeNA BayStars Japan NPB | Yokohama DeNA BayStars vs Yomiuri Giants winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle MLS | POR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle MLS | Portland vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:0 Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB | Chiba Lotte Marines vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Cleveland Guardians 8:12 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Houston Astros 5:4 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cincinnati Reds 1:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 0:0 Juventude RS Copa do Brasil | Atletico Mineiro vs Juventude RS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1:1 Venados FC (Venados) Liga de Expansion MX | Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Seattle Mariners 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Racing Louisville FC 2:1 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Racing Louisville vs Chicago Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-01 | Racing Louisville FC 2:1 Chicago Stars FC NWSL | Racing Louisville vs Chicago Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Plzen 1:1 Brno Czech First League | Plzen vs Brno Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | Under 198.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Charlotte 91:110 Milwaukee NBA Summer League | MIL -15.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | Cleveland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | NOP -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Cleveland 82:77 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NBA Summer League | New Orleans to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | MIN -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | Minnesota to win | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | Under 194.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Philadelphia 92:99 Orlando NBA Summer League | ORL -12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 2nd Half | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ENG +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Lionel Messi: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score in the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |