Kalshi · Football
defined.duck1469 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 33 picks, 60.6% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 34 | 34 | 20 | 58.8% |
| NCAAF | 9 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 7 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| NBA Summer League | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
defined.duck1469 mainly predicts World Cup: 34 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.6% hit rate over 33 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 42.1%. In World Cup, 20 of 34 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-28 08:31 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 17:34 Liberty Flames NCAAF | Coastal Carolina wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | LAR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Louisville Cardinals 41:31 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Louisville wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Houston to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Denver wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24:22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Iowa Hawkeyes 16:13 Iowa St. NCAAF | Iowa St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Kansas Jayhawks 21:38 Missouri Tigers NCAAF | Kansas to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | Florida St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | Wisconsin to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Philadelphia Phillies 11:4 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Philadelphia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-21 | Boston Red Sox 6:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Seattle Mariners 6:3 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-18 | France 4:6 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 3-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | Portland to win | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Miami 90:99 Toronto NBA Summer League | Miami to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Tie be the result of the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:3 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-09 | Minnesota 6:5 Cleveland MLB | Cleveland vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | France wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Draw 0-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | England vs Congo DR: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico win the 2nd Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) 3:3 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Algeria vs Austria Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 5:0 Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) FIFA World Cup | Senegal wins 1-0 | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:4 France FIFA World Cup | France wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |