Kalshi · Esports
denialc is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 69 picks, 68.1% win rate, $8K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 38 | 38 | 23 | 60.5% |
| MSI | 8 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% |
| NFL | 4 | 4 | 1 | — |
| Esports World Cup (Valorant) | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| VCL Pacific | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| League of Legends | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
denialc mainly predicts MLB: 38 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.1% hit rate over 69 orders, P&L $8K, ROI 10.9%. In MLB, 23 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-30 05:20 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | New York Yankees 9:0 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:41 San Francisco 49ers NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles Pro Football game: SF 49ers wins | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | San Francisco Giants 7:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Detroit Tigers 3:4 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Detroit Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Cleveland Guardians 5:7 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Cleveland Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-14 | San Francisco 13:19 Tennessee Titans NFL | San Francisco to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 28:9 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-13 | Detroit Tigers 3:0 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Atlanta Braves 6:3 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Atlanta Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | Detroit Tigers 6:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-11 | San Diego Padres 11:2 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:5 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Texas Rangers 5:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Texas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-07 | Arizona Cardinals 30:33 Carolina Panthers NFL | Arizona to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-06 | Atlanta Braves 11:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Atlanta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-05 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:2 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-05 | Houston Astros 4:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-04 | New York Yankees 2:0 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs New York Y Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-04 | Seattle Mariners 0:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:9 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Cubs 1:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Chicago C Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-01 | Athletics 6:8 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-31 | Cincinnati Reds 8:7 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-30 | San Diego Padres 1:4 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs San Diego Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-29 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:2 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-28 | Miami Marlins 1:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-28 | Los Angeles Dodgers 6:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | St. Louis Cardinals 3:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Texas Rangers 4:6 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Texas Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Minnesota Twins 11:8 Athletics MLB | A's vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:11 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Miami Marlins 2:4 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs Miami Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Boston Red Sox 6:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Kansas City Royals 3:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Senshi Esports ZennIT League of Legends | Senshi Esports Club to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Hanwha Life Esports 3:2 Bilibili Gaming MSI | Hanwha Life Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | San Francisco 3:4 Colorado MLB | Colorado vs San Francisco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | G2 Esports 0:3 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) MSI | G2 Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Fancy United 2:0 555 VCL Pacific | 555 to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | Yi-Jing 2:0 No Salary Peek VCL Pacific | Yi-Jing to win | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | St. Louis 5:1 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs St. Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | T1 1:3 G2 Esports MSI | T1 to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Team Syntax 2:0 BALU Dota 2 | Team Syntax to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | T1 3:0 FURIA Esports MSI | Under 3.5 maps | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Bilibili Gaming 3:0 Olympique Lyonnais (LYON) MSI | Over 3.5 maps | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | 555 2:3 Sharper Esport VCL Southeast Asia | Sharper Esport to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | IGZIST 2:1 Riddle VCL Japan | Riddle to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Nongshim RedForce 2:1 G2 Esports Esports World Cup (Valorant) | Nongshim RedForce to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | XLG Gaming 1:2 Gentle Mates Esports World Cup (Valorant) | Gentle Mates to win | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | YFT Esports 0:2 QoR VCL North America | YFT Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Paper Rex 1:2 Karmine Corp Esports World Cup (Valorant) | Paper Rex to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | T1 2:3 Bilibili Gaming MSI | T1 to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Top Esports 2:3 G2 Esports MSI | Top Esports to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Team Secret Whales 0:3 Hanwha Life Esports MSI | Under 3.5 maps | Won |