Kalshi · Football
draft.drug is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 23 picks, 78.3% win rate, $539 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 53 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 53 have settled: 29 won, 24 lost, 54.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% |
| Intl Friendlies | 14 | 14 | 11 | 78.6% |
| MLS | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| Japan J1 League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
draft.drug mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 53 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 78.3% hit rate over 23 orders, P&L $539, ROI 16.5%. In World Cup, 15 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-08-03 04:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 2:4 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle MLS | Portland vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | LA Galaxy 0:0 FC Dallas MLS | Los Angeles G vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-02 | Portland Fire (Portland) 2:1 Seattle MLS | Portland vs Seattle Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Panama men's national football team (Panama) 0:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | no goal be scored | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) 0:4 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Tunisia vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Turkiye 0:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 3:0 Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) FIFA World Cup | Brazil wins 5-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | NOR -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Algeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Iraq: 3+ corners | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Haiti vs Scotland Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Morocco Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Paraguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) 2:1 Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) FIFA World Cup | Korea Republic vs Czechia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs South Africa Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Portugal vs Nigeria Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-10 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 0:2 Venezuela national basketball team (Venezuela) Intl Friendlies | Iraq vs Venezuela Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) Intl Friendlies | Senegal vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-07 | Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) 1:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Intl Friendlies | Morocco vs Norway Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-07 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 2:1 Slovenia men's national football team (Slovenia) Intl Friendlies | Croatia vs Slovenia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Denmark men's national football team (Denmark) 2:1 Ukraine men's national football team (Ukraine) Intl Friendlies | Denmark vs Ukraine Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 2:0 Honduras men's national football team (Honduras) Intl Friendlies | Argentina vs Honduras Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 2:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) Intl Friendlies | Brazil vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) Foshan Nanshi FC Intl Friendlies | Qatar vs El Salvador Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) Foshan Nanshi FC Intl Friendlies | Qatar vs El Salvador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1:2 Germany Intl Friendlies | USA vs Germany Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Albania men's national football team (Albania) 0:1 Luxembourg men's national football team (Luxembourg) Intl Friendlies | Albania vs Luxembourg Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | Romania men's national association football team (Romania) 2:1 Wales men's national association football team (Wales) Intl Friendlies | Romania vs Wales Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | FC Tokyo 1:3 Cerezo Osaka (Cerezo) Japan J1 League | Tokyo vs Cerezo Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 5:1 Serbia men's national football team (Serbia) Intl Friendlies | Mexico vs Serbia Winner | Won |