Kalshi · Football
hon.badger is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 36 picks, 63.9% win rate, $480 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 32 won, 28 lost, 53.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 55 | 55 | 29 | 52.7% |
| NBA | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
hon.badger mainly predicts World Cup: 55 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.9% hit rate over 36 orders, P&L $480, ROI 27.8%. In World Cup, 29 of 55 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-06-26 10:01 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | USA wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Son Heung-min: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Egypt wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Draw 1-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 6:0 Qatar men's national football team (Qatar) FIFA World Cup | Canada wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Athletics 4:12 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia wins 3-1 | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Uzbekistan vs Colombia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Portugal wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 1:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Athletics 5:6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds SC (Pittsburgh) MLB | Pittsburgh vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | France: 6+ corners | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Tie win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran vs New Zealand Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Iran win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | IR Iran wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | IR Iran 2:2 New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay wins 3-2 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) 1:1 Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Cape Verde Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden wins 3-1 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | NED +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +11.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +10.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | SAS +5.5 | Won |