Kalshi · Football · American football
launch.lid is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 84 picks, 80.7% win rate, $2K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 51 won, 9 lost, 85.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 28 | 28 | 24 | 85.7% |
| NCAAF | 11 | 11 | 7 | 63.6% |
| MLB | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Premier League | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| Champions League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
launch.lid mainly predicts NFL: 28 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.7% hit rate over 84 orders, P&L $2K, ROI 23.7%. In NFL, 24 of 28 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-29 10:28 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Chicago wins | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus Crew (Columbus) 2:1 Inter Miami CF MLS | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16:23 Minnesota Vikings NFL | Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | San Francisco 49ers 36:30 Arizona Cardinals NFL | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | New Orleans Saints 27:35 Las Vegas Raiders NFL | Las Vegas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Buffalo Bills 24:16 Los Angeles Chargers NFL | Over 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Tennessee 17:20 Texas Longhorns NCAAF | Texas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | EDward Gaming 0:2 LOUD VCT Champions | Map 1: LOUD | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Indiana Hoosiers 29:23 Northwestern Wildcats NCAAF | Indiana wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | UAB Blazers 24:20 Navy Midshipmen NCAAF | Navy wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-25 | Temple Owls 17:21 Army Black Knights NCAAF | Army wins | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Boston Red Sox 4:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-25 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-09-24 | Philadelphia 1:5 Milwaukee MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-23 | Baltimore 4:2 Toronto MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-09-22 | New York Yankees 2:0 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Inter Miami CF 2:2 San Diego FC MLS | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL Cowboys 37:20 WAS Commanders NFL | Over 49.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Valencia 2:3 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Sociedad wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | New York Jets 17:20 Green Bay Packers NFL | New York J wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-20 | BAL Ravens 17:24 New Orleans Saints NFL | New Orleans wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL Falcons 3:34 CAR Panthers NFL | Carolina wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Grêmio FBPA (Gremio) 0:0 Palmeiras Brasileiro Serie A | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 5:3 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-20 | ACF Fiorentina (Fiorentina) 1:1 SSC Napoli (Napoli) Serie A | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Clemson Tigers 28:20 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Clemson wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Texas Tech to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Texas Tech wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF Bills 41:31 DET Lions NFL | Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-17 | Pittsburgh Pirates 4:5 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee wins | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | neither team win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Philadelphia Eagles 24:22 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game: Philadelphia wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Los Angeles C 14:26 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Detroit 31:30 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game: Detroit wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Buffalo wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers 20:13 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: Pittsburgh wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Carolina Panthers 37:59 Chicago Bears NFL | Over 48.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Manchester City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 0:1 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Tie 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-13 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Ohio St. to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Michigan to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Oklahoma to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) 2:2 Hull City A.F.C. (Hull City AFC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-09-11 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | SF +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | New York Yankees 10:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 4:0 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Manchester United wins 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) 1:1 AS Roma Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | SSC Napoli (Napoli) 0:1 Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) Champions League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 2:2 Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) Premier League | Manchester United wins | Lost |