Kalshi · Football · Top pro
little.tortoise is a Nations League pro on Kalshi: 176 picks, 81.3% win rate, $11K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 59 have settled: 46 won, 13 lost, 78.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nations League | 10 | 10 | 8 | 80.0% |
| Liga Portugal | 6 | 6 | 6 | 100.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| Bundesliga | 4 | 4 | 4 | — |
| Intl Friendlies | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
little.tortoise mainly predicts Nations League: 10 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 81.3% hit rate over 176 orders, P&L $11K, ROI 17.8%. In Nations League, 8 of 10 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 02:26 UTC+8. Method: methodology
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| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | S.C.U. Torreense (Torreense) 1:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Europa League | Over 2.5 | Pending |
| 2026-10-14 | Boca Juniors 0:1 CR Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Athletic Club Sjdr 2:2 Londrina E.C. (Londrina) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Bayern Munich wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Coventry City F.C. (Coventry) 4:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Zlate Moravce 1:3 FK Pohronie Slovakian 2. Liga | Over 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Cagliari Calcio 1:1 Juventus FC Serie A | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | S.L. Benfica (SL Benfica) 2:0 Guimaraes Liga Portugal | SL Benfica wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio 1:1 AC Milan Serie A | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | SC Freiburg 2:1 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Bundesliga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 4:1 AJ Auxerre (Auxerre) Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Union Gilloise 1:1 Leuven Belgian Pro League | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | 1. FC Köln (FC Köln) 2:1 M´gladbach Bundesliga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Nice 2:1 RC Strasbourg Alsace Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Grasshopper 0:2 BSC Young Boys (Young Boys) Swiss Super League | Young Boys wins | Won |
| 2026-10-11 | Como 1907 0:0 AS Roma Serie A | Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Madeira FC Porto Liga Portugal | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Barcelona 3:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Team Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Madeira FC Porto Liga Portugal | Porto wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Bodoe/Glimt 3:1 Kristiansund BK Eliteserien | Bodoe/Glimt wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | FC Augsburg 2:2 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Bundesliga | Augsburg wins | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-10 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 2:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Premier League | Arsenal wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Club de Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata (Gimnasia La Plata) 1:1 Atlético Tucumán (Atletico Tucuman) Argentina Primera Division | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | S.C. Braga (SC Braga) 1:3 Sporting CP Liga Portugal | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 2:2 Bremen Bundesliga | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Moreirense F.C. (Moreirense FC) 0:1 Vicente Barcelos Liga Portugal | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | SK Brann 0:2 Viking FK Eliteserien | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Nassr Club 3:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | 1H Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Al Nassr Club 3:0 Al-Diriyah Club (Diriyah Club) Saudi Pro League | Al Nassr wins | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Galatasaray S.K. (Galatasaray) 3:1 Kasimpasa Super Lig | Galatasaray wins | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Chicago Fire FC 3:1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Both Teams To Score | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | Goiás Esporte Clube (Goias) 2:1 Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Sport Club do Recife (Sport Recife) 2:1 São Bernardo Futebol Clube (Sao Bernardo) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:0 Benin men's national football team (Benin) Intl Friendlies | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 3:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | Russia men's national football team (Russia) 3:3 Nigeria men's national basketball team (Nigeria) Intl Friendlies | Russia wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-06 | Kazakhstan men's national football team (Kazakhstan) 2:2 Faroe Islands men's national football team (Faroe Islands) Nations League | Faroe Islands wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cuba national basketball team (Cuba) 2:2 Saint Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Italy men's national association football team (Italy) 3:1 Turkiye Nations League | Italy wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Cyprus men's national football team (Cyprus) 2:1 Latvia men's national football team (Latvia) Nations League | Cyprus wins | Won |
| 2026-10-05 | Aruba men's national football team (Aruba) 3:2 Anguilla CONCACAF Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Puerto Rico men's national basketball team (Puerto Rico) 1:0 Cayman Islands men's national football team (Cayman Islands) CONCACAF Nations League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) Nations League | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Kosovo men's national association football team (Kosovo) 1:1 Austria men's national football team (Austria) Nations League | Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-04 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 1:0 Lithuania men's national football team (Lithuania) Nations League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Clube Atlético Mineiro (Atletico Mineiro) 1:0 Red Bull Bragantino (Bragantino) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Botafogo Futebol Clube (Botafogo SP) 0:1 Vila Nova Futebol Clube (Vila Nova FC) Brasileiro Serie B | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) 0:7 England men's national association football team (England) Nations League | England wins | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Oss 4:1 Maastricht Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Finland men's national football team (Finland) 2:1 Albania men's national football team (Albania) Nations League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Sao Paulo 1:2 Santos F.C. (Santos FC) Brasileiro Serie A | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Virgin Islands, British 0:2 Montserrat CONCACAF Nations League | MSR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Azerbaijan men's national football team (Azerbaijan) 0:0 Liechtenstein men's national football team (Liechtenstein) Nations League | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Cienciano 1:1 Los Chankas CYC Peru Liga 1 | CIE +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-30 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:1 Peru men's national football team (Peru) Intl Friendlies | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-29 | Somalia 0:2 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) AFCON | Ivory Coast wins | Won |