Kalshi · Baseball
louwill is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 75 picks, 68.0% win rate, $559 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 40 | 40 | 27 | 67.5% |
| NCAAF | 10 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% |
| NFL | 8 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Nations League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Premier League | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
louwill mainly predicts MLB: 40 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 68.0% hit rate over 75 orders, P&L $559, ROI 10.2%. In MLB, 27 of 40 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-09 11:10 UTC+8. Method: methodology
WWLWL
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Chris Godwin Jr.: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Jake Ferguson: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-08 | San Diego Padres 1:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-07 | San Diego Padres 4:3 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-06 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | ATL +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | Cleveland Guardians 3:4 Chicago White Sox MLB | Cleveland wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | CAR Panthers 32:26 DET Lions NFL | Sam LaPorta: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | Greece men's national football team (Greece) 2:2 Netherlands Nations League | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) 3:0 Chelsea F.C. (Chelsea FC) Premier League | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Alabama Crimson Tide 48:10 East Carolina Pirates NCAAF | ALA -15.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Indiana Hoosiers 52:16 North Texas Mean Green NCAAF | IND -23.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Philadelphia Phillies 2:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Illinois Fighting Illini 42:23 UAB Blazers NCAAF | Under 60.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees 16:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | UNLV -4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Stanford Cardinal 37:27 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors NCAAF | STAN -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Florida State Seminoles 34:17 New Mexico State Aggies NCAAF | FSU -30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | North Dakota St. 33:7 Jacksonville State Gamecocks NCAAF | NDSU -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | Over 48.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Cleveland Guardians 3:8 Kansas City Royals MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Virginia Cavaliers 34:8 North Carolina St. NCAAF | UVA +4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | Under 46.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | San Francisco Giants 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Minnesota Twins 4:7 Chicago WS MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Detroit Tigers 1:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Chicago Cubs 8:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Over 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Seattle Mariners 0:6 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Seattle First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | San Francisco Giants 9:10 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs San Francisco First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:0 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Detroit Tigers 0:3 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Angels 6:8 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Los Angeles A First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | New York Mets 3:2 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs New York M First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-25 | Miami Marlins 3:7 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Los Angeles Angels 2:4 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Los Angeles A First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Miami Marlins 2:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Miami First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | TEN +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Milwaukee First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | New York Yankees 3:4 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 13:33 Green Bay NFL | DEN -5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Texas Rangers 2:1 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Texas First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Chicago WS 6:4 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Chicago WS First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | New York Yankees 3:1 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs New York Y First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 2:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs Texas First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Chicago WS 0:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Chicago WS First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Tampa Bay Rays 1:5 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Cleveland Guardians 5:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Reds 5:4 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Cleveland Guardians 0:1 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco vs Cleveland First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Boston Red Sox 6:7 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 8.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Chicago Cubs 0:3 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota First Inning Run | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | New York Mets 2:5 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Boston Red Sox 9:4 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Arizona vs Boston First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 5:10 Toronto Blue Jays MLB | Toronto vs Tampa Bay First Inning Run | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | New York Mets 2:1 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego vs New York M First Inning Run | Lost |