Kalshi · Football
mess.road is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 30 picks, 76.7% win rate, $919 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 38 won, 22 lost, 63.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 20 | 20 | 11 | 55.0% |
| NCAAF | 19 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% |
| NFL | 12 | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| NBA Summer League | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
mess.road mainly predicts World Cup: 20 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 76.7% hit rate over 30 orders, P&L $919, ROI 11.0%. In World Cup, 11 of 20 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-10 11:28 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | Matthew Stafford: 225+ passing yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU wins | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Florida State Seminoles 24:27 SMU Mustangs NCAAF | SMU -2.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Louisville to win | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Over 65.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | MISS -13.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | WASH -13.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | Over 25.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Washington 24:10 Washington State Cougars NCAAF | WASH -9.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Campbell Fighting Camels 28:19 Western Carolina Catamounts NCAAF | Campbell wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 6:21 UNLV Rebels NCAAF | UNLV wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Michigan Wolverines 13:12 Western Michigan Broncos NCAAF | Western Michigan wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Eastern Michigan Eagles 21:27 San Jose St. NCAAF | San Jose St. wins | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | UNLV Rebels 21:27 Memphis Tigers NCAAF | Memphis vs UNLV college football game: UNLV wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | USC Trojans 42:26 San Jose St. NCAAF | USC -30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU wins the 1st half | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Green Bay 42:38 Arizona Cardinals NFL | Arizona vs Green Bay Pro Football game: Green Bay wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Dallas Wings (Dallas) 24:27 New Orleans Pelicans (New Orleans) NFL | New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | Miami Dolphins 12:17 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Atlanta vs Miami Pro Football game: Atlanta wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Baltimore Ravens 41:3 Washington Commanders NFL | Washington vs Baltimore Pro Football game: Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | LAR +2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles R to win | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) 12:18 San Francisco NFL | San Francisco vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Los Angeles Chargers 18:20 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Los Angeles C to win | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Morehead State Eagles 40:42 Ohio Dominican Panthers NCAAF | Morehead St. wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Seattle Storm 90:78 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-24 | Tennessee Titans 19:16 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Tennessee win the 1st Half | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Los Angeles Lakers (Los) 96:84 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | Los Angeles L to win | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain win in Regulation Time | Won |
| 2026-07-10 | Miami 8:4 Seattle MLB | Seattle vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Los Angeles Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Los Angeles winner | Won |
| 2026-07-09 | Detroit 4:1 Athletics MLB | A's vs Detroit Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | Utah 103:69 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA Summer League | UTA -12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Colombia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 3:2 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Egypt Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 93:94 USA FIBA World Cup Qualifiers | USA vs Mexico Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Utah 109:100 Memphis NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Team Over 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:7 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Won |