Kalshi · Football
motionxvi is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 21 picks, 61.9% win rate, $748 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 40 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 40 have settled: 22 won, 18 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 22 | 13 | 59.1% |
| NBA | 14 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| MLB | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
motionxvi mainly predicts World Cup: 22 of the last 40 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 61.9% hit rate over 21 orders, P&L $748, ROI 41.0%. In World Cup, 13 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-04 06:45 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | New York Liberty 99:86 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs New York winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-02 | Phoenix Mercury 90:67 Seattle Storm WNBA | PHX -1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | England men's national association football team (England) 2:1 DR Congo men's national football team (Congo DR) FIFA World Cup | Congo DR win the 1st Half | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 4:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Czechia men's national football team (Czechia) 1:1 South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-18 | Uzbekistan men's national football team (Uzbekistan) 1:3 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | 1H Under 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-18 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | Ghana vs Panama Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | England men's national association football team (England) 4:2 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-17 | Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) 1:0 Panama men's national football team (Panama) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-16 | Iraq men's national football team (Iraq) 1:4 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-16 | France 3:1 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Japan Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Netherlands 2:2 Japan men's national football team (Japan) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 2:0 Turkiye FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Turkiye Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Haiti men's national football team (Haiti) 0:1 Scotland men's national football team (Scotland) FIFA World Cup | Under 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Team Over 95.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | 1st Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Cleveland 3:1 Detroit MLB | Detroit vs Cleveland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-12 | Boston 6:3 Texas MLB | Texas vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-12 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 1:1 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Under 212.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Team Under 103.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-10 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | 1st Quarter Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | Over 212.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-09 | New 111:115 San Antonio NBA | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-05 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | First Half Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Over 201.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-03 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Over 210.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-30 | Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) 103:111 San Antonio NBA | Over 210.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-29 | San Antonio 118:91 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Under 223.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-26 | Cleveland 93:130 New NBA | Over 212.5 | Won |
| 2026-05-24 | San Antonio 103:82 Oklahoma City Thunder (Oklahoma City) NBA | Over 217.5 | Lost |