Kalshi · Baseball
nogiallstar is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 48 picks, 66.7% win rate, $245 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 28 won, 32 lost, 46.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 41 | 41 | 20 | 48.8% |
| NFL | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| La Liga | 3 | 3 | 0 | — |
| Chile Liga de Primera | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Liga MX | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Super Lig | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
nogiallstar mainly predicts MLB: 41 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 66.7% hit rate over 48 orders, P&L $245, ROI 31.7%. In MLB, 20 of 41 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-12 04:53 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LLWWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Los Angeles Chargers 17:23 Denver Broncos NFL | Los Angeles C wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | America 1:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-10-09 | Chicago White Sox 5:9 Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | New York Yankees 9:2 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI -20.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Philadelphia wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | 1H Under 21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Denver wins | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle 8:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-27 | Seattle 8:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Under 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Los Angeles R wins | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Sevilla FC 1:3 FC Barcelona La Liga | Sevilla wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-17 | Cincinnati Reds 6:2 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami wins | Won |
| 2026-09-16 | Arizona Diamondbacks 2:4 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-16 | Los Angeles Angels 2:1 Seattle Mariners MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | Gaziantep F.K. (Gaziantep) 0:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul (Fenerbahce) Super Lig | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Los Angeles R 7:27 San Francisco NFL | LAR -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Under 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle 4:3 Texas MLB | Over 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Philadelphia Phillies 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Seattle Seahawks 13:10 New England Patriots NFL | New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | New York Yankees 5:3 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | DET +4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Cleveland Guardians 7:6 Detroit Tigers MLB | CLE -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Seattle Mariners 4:7 Athletics MLB | A's wins | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Kansas City Royals 7:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Under 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Chicago Cubs 2:1 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Baltimore Orioles 5:6 Boston Red Sox MLB | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2 San Francisco Giants MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-03 | Minnesota Twins 6:11 Detroit Tigers MLB | Under 12.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Cincinnati Reds 7:3 San Diego Padres MLB | San Diego wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Arizona wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Colorado Rockies 4:2 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Pittsburgh Pirates 13:12 San Francisco Giants MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-02 | Chicago Cubs 4:9 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Boston Red Sox 6:9 Seattle Mariners MLB | Over 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) 3:2 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) 3:2 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Chile Liga de Primera | Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Club Deportivo Universidad Católica (CD Universidad Católica) 3:2 O'Higgins F.C. (O'Higgins FC) Chile Liga de Primera | O´Higgins wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | New York Yankees 16:1 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Athletics 3:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Under 9.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Santos Laguna (Club Santos Laguna) 0:0 Tigres UANL (Tigres) Liga MX | Santos Laguna vs Tigres Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Oakland Roots SC 1:1 Orange County SC USL Championship | Oakland Roots SC wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta Braves 2:1 Colorado Rockies MLB | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Indianapolis Colts 16:25 Detroit Lions NFL | Detroit vs Indianapolis Pro Football game: Indianapolis wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Levante UD 5:2 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Levante vs Real Betis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | San Francisco Giants 6:10 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | Over 16.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Athletics 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |