Kalshi · Football
reluctant.guppy5061 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 22 picks, 63.6% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 33 won, 27 lost, 55.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 29 | 29 | 14 | 48.3% |
| NBA Summer League | 9 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| WNBA | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Japan NPB | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| MSI | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
reluctant.guppy5061 mainly predicts World Cup: 29 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 22 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 32.4%. In World Cup, 14 of 29 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-17 10:43 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Denver Nuggets (Denver) 101:108 Portland Fire (Portland) NBA Summer League | POR +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-17 | St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) 3:2 Kansas City MLS | Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 0:2 Club Sport Emelec (Emelec) Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Emelec Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-17 | New 77:87 Golden NBA Summer League | GSW +9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-16 | Washington Mystics 56:75 Portland Fire WNBA | PDX +3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Indiana Fever 75:88 Golden State Valkyries WNBA | IND +12.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota 114:98 Indiana Fever (Indiana) NBA Summer League | IND +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Minnesota Lynx 96:87 Los Angeles Sparks WNBA | LA +6.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | Oklahoma 103:106 Denver Nuggets (Denver) NBA Summer League | Denver to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington Mystics WNBA | TOR +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Houston 90:64 Philadelphia NBA Summer League | HOU +15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France win in Extra Time | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | The New Saints F.C. (New Saints) 1:2 Sabah Masazir Champions League | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Connecticut Sun 90:87 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs Connecticut winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Milwaukee 88:95 Phoenix Mercury (Phoenix) NBA Summer League | Phoenix to win | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Won |
| 2026-07-14 | Minnesota Lynx 104:100 Phoenix Mercury WNBA | Phoenix vs Minnesota winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | Utah 80:63 Chicago NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Atlético Clube Goianiense (AC Goianiense) 1:0 Fortaleza E.C. (Fortaleza) Brasileiro Serie B | AC Goianiense vs Fortaleza Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Miami Marlins 2:5 Cleveland Guardians MLB | Cleveland vs Miami Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Hanwha Life Esports 3:2 Bilibili Gaming MSI | Bilibili Gaming to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Lynn Vision 2:1 TYLOO CS2 | TYLOO to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Chunichi Dragons 1:5 Hiroshima Toyo Carp Japan NPB | Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1:12 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 1:12 Saitama Seibu Lions Japan NPB | Saitama Seibu Lions vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 1-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Draw 2-2 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | England wins 2-1 | Lost |
| 2026-07-11 | Minnesota 3:4 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Los Angeles A vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 2-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Phoenix Mercury 89:92 Indiana Fever WNBA | Indiana vs Phoenix winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Washington 92:88 Utah NBA Summer League | Utah to win | Lost |
| 2026-07-08 | France 2:0 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | France vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-08 | New York Liberty 77:88 Dallas Wings WNBA | Dallas vs New York winner | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | Colombia win in Penalty Shootout | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 0:0 Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) FIFA World Cup | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | Brooklyn Golden State Blue NBA Summer League | Brooklyn to win | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-05 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Julian Quinones: score or assist | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | G2 Esports 0:3 Hanwha Life Esports MSI | Hanwha Life Esports to win | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-03 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Mohamed Salah: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Croatia: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 3:0 Austria men's national football team (Austria) FIFA World Cup | Spain wins 5-0 | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | France 3:0 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | France vs Sweden Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | South Africa men's national association football team (South Africa) 0:1 Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) FIFA World Cup | South Africa vs Canada: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Jordan men's national football team (Jordan) 1:3 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | ARG -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Enner Valencia: score or assist | Lost |
| 2026-06-20 | Germany 2:1 Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner | Won |