Kalshi · Baseball
roadto1M is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 45 picks, 62.2% win rate, $261 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 29 won, 31 lost, 48.3% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 25 | 25 | 12 | 48.0% |
| La Liga | 12 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| Premier League | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| MLS | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Ligue 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — |
| EFL Cup | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
roadto1M mainly predicts MLB: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 62.2% hit rate over 45 orders, P&L $261, ROI 28.0%. In MLB, 12 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-04 08:38 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kansas City Royals 7:3 Miami Marlins MLB | Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-01 | Portsmouth F.C. (Portsmouth FC) 0:2 Derby County F.C. (Derby) EFL Championship | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-01 | Arizona Diamondbacks 1:2 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-31 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 1:0 Getafe CF La Liga | Both Teams To Score | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Los Angeles Angels 2:5 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 1st inning: Over 0.5 runs | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Real Madrid 4:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | Vinicius Junior: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:1 Le Mans F.C. (Le Mans FC) Ligue 1 | REN +1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) 1:1 Brentford F.C. (Brentford FC) Premier League | Leeds United vs Brentford Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Paris FC 3:0 Nice Ligue 1 | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-30 | Kansas City 0:3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Vancouver) MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | Milwaukee 5:3 Texas MLB | MIL +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle 2:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | Crystal Palace F.C. (Crystal Palace FC) 1:4 Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) Premier League | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | USC Trojans 42:26 San Jose St. NCAAF | USC -20.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-28 | New York Yankees 1:5 Houston Astros MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-28 | San Francisco Giants 6:1 Arizona Diamondbacks MLB | San Francisco wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 5:1 Charlton Athletic F.C. (Charlton) EFL Cup | Under 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. (Tottenham) 5:1 Charlton Athletic F.C. (Charlton) EFL Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | Seattle Mariners 4:1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-26 | Seattle Mariners 4:1 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Seattle wins | Won |
| 2026-08-26 | New York Yankees 7:9 Houston Astros MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Valencia vs Real Betis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Valencia 0:1 Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-25 | Arizona Diamondbacks 0:7 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Club Atlético Osasuna (Osasuna) 0:0 Levante UD La Liga | Osasuna vs Levante Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-24 | Bologna F.C. 1909 (Bologna FC 1909) 0:1 SS Lazio Serie A | both teams score | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Atlanta 2:1 Kansas City MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Torino FC 1:2 AC Milan Serie A | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Stade Rennais F.C. (Stade Rennais FC 1901) 2:2 Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) Ligue 1 | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | Alexander Isak: 1+ goals | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Atletico 2:2 Villarreal CF La Liga | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) 2:2 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Premier League | 1H Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. (Manchester City FC) 2:1 AFC Bournemouth Premier League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-23 | Baltimore Orioles 3:2 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Baltimore wins | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers 5:4 Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | Pittsburgh vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-22 | Seattle Mariners 6:5 Chicago Cubs MLB | Over 11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Kansas City Royals 5:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Kansas City Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | RBB -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Milwaukee Brewers 2:1 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Olympique de Marseille (Marseille) 4:0 RC Strasbourg Alsace Ligue 1 | Marseille vs Strasbourg Alsace Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-21 | Real Betis Balompié (Real Betis) 1:0 Real Sociedad La Liga | Real Betis vs Real Sociedad Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Astros 3:18 Los Angeles Angels MLB | Over 19.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-21 | Houston Texans 20:22 Las Vegas Aces (Las Vegas) NFL | Over 39.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Baltimore Orioles 1:6 New York Yankees MLB | Over 7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano (Vallecano) 1:1 Deportivo Alavés (Alaves) La Liga | Alaves: 5+ corners | Won |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City 1:1 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Texas Rangers 0:6 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 7.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Red Bull New York (New York RB) 0:1 Nashville SC MLS | Under 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-19 | Minnesota Twins 6:4 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-19 | Atletico 2:0 Málaga CF (Malaga) La Liga | ATM +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | Under 8.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Texas Rangers 5:0 Washington Nationals MLB | F5 Under 4.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Toronto Tempo 95:101 Indiana Fever WNBA | IND +13.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Baltimore Orioles 1:3 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Baltimore Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Over 10.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Chicago Cubs 7:5 Chicago WS MLB | Chicago WS vs Chicago C Winner | Won |