Kalshi · Baseball
sad.rock is a NFL pro on Kalshi: 28 picks, 60.7% win rate, $547 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 21 won, 39 lost, 35.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 32 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| NCAAF | 22 | 22 | 11 | 50.0% |
| MLB | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Europa League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Champions League | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| WNBA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
sad.rock mainly predicts NFL: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 60.7% hit rate over 28 orders, P&L $547, ROI 16.8%. In NFL, 6 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWWLW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 4:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | SEA -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-16 | Denver Broncos 17:14 Seattle Seahawks NFL | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-15 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (Hoffenheim) 2:3 Besiktas Europa League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | LASK Linz (LASK) 3:6 Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) Champions League | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-14 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27:24 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Florida International wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-14 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks 27:24 Florida International Panthers NCAAF | Team Over 30.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | BUF -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-13 | Los Angeles Rams 34:37 Buffalo Bills NFL | LAR +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Derrick Henry: 2+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-12 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Atlanta Falcons 23:30 Baltimore Ravens NFL | ATL -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-11 | Seattle Seahawks 29:32 San Francisco 49ers NFL | AJ Barner: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | MIZZ +11.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-10 | Missouri Tigers 27:6 Texas A&M Aggies NCAAF | MIZZ +5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-09 | Dallas Cowboys 16:24 Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL | Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Kyle Pitts Sr.: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-05 | New Orleans Saints 24:45 ATL Falcons NFL | Juwan Johnson: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN Vikings 15:10 MIA Dolphins NFL | Aaron Jones Sr.: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS Commanders 13:30 IND Colts NFL | Washington wins | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:17 BYU Cougars NCAAF | Team Over 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-03 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 48:23 Maryland Terrapins NCAAF | Team Over 34.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-03 | Nebraska Cornhuskers 48:23 Maryland Terrapins NCAAF | Team Over 27.5 | Won |
| 2026-10-02 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Team Over 28.5 | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Pat Freiermuth: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Blake Whiteheart: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Darnell Washington: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Roman Wilson: 1st Touchdown | Won |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Harold Fannin Jr.: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-10-01 | CLE Browns 27:24 PIT Steelers NFL | Deshaun Watson: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | Team Over 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago Bears 27:7 Philadelphia Eagles NFL | CHI +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Evan Engram: 1+ touchdowns | Lost |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | Team Over 21.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-28 | Denver Broncos 30:26 Los Angeles Rams NFL | 2H Over 14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Arkansas Razorbacks 34:6 Tulsa Golden Hurricane NCAAF | Arkansas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | FLA +10.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Ole Miss wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-26 | Florida Gators 52:28 Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF | Over 44.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-26 | Louisville Cardinals 27:30 Wake Forest Demon Deacons NCAAF | Louisville wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-24 | Green Bay Packers 14:35 Atlanta Falcons NFL | Tucker Kraft: 1st Touchdown | Lost |
| 2026-09-22 | Los Angeles Rams 28:6 New York Giants NFL | Over 39.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs 33:30 IND Colts NFL | Alec Pierce: 40+ receiving yards | Lost |
| 2026-09-19 | Ole Miss Rebels 32:24 LSU Tigers NCAAF | Ole Miss to win | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | Auburn Tigers 39:44 Florida Gators NCAAF | Team Over 23.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-19 | St. Thomas Tommies 28:26 Southern Utah Thunderbirds NCAAF | St. Thomas wins | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | Texas Tech Red Raiders 28:26 Houston NCAAF | Texas Tech to win | Won |
| 2026-09-15 | Kansas City Chiefs 31:10 Denver Broncos NFL | Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game: Kansas City wins | Won |
| 2026-09-14 | New York G 28:20 Dallas Cowboys NFL | Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: Dallas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-13 | Minnesota Vikings 39:22 Green Bay NFL | Green Bay vs Minnesota Pro Football game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Minnesota 13:38 Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF | Minnesota wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish 41:13 Wisconsin Badgers NCAAF | ND +21.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | James Madison Dukes 20:13 Liberty Flames NCAAF | James Madison wins | Won |
| 2026-09-03 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 13:14 Colorado Buffaloes NCAAF | Colorado wins | Won |
| 2026-08-29 | TCU Horned Frogs 10:15 North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF | TCU to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Golden State Valkyries 66:77 Minnesota Lynx WNBA | Minnesota vs Golden State women's Pro Basketball game: Minnesota wins | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Minnesota Twins 7:5 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Minnesota Winner | Won |