Kalshi · Football
shivering.swordtail4156 is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 19 picks, 63.2% win rate, $314 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 30 won, 30 lost, 50.0% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 32 | 15 | 46.9% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 6 | 5 | 83.3% |
| MLS | 6 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Liga MX | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% |
| Brasileiro Serie B | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
shivering.swordtail4156 mainly predicts World Cup: 32 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.2% hit rate over 19 orders, P&L $314, ROI 19.3%. In World Cup, 15 of 32 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-07-28 07:04 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) 0:0 Uni Catolica Ecuador LigaPro | Guayaquil City vs Uni Catolica Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 0:2 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | Mushuc Runa vs Libertad Loja Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-27 | CF Pachuca 1:2 Querétaro F.C. (Queretaro) Liga MX | Pachuca vs Queretaro Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-27 | Club Necaxa 2:1 Club de Fútbol Monterrey (CF Monterrey) Liga MX | Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 2:3 Ind. del Valle Ecuador LigaPro | Orense vs Ind. del Valle Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | AFC Ajax 2:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) Club Friendlies | Ajax vs Burnley Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 1:1 LA Galaxy MLS | San Jose vs Los Angeles G Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Sunderland Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-25 | Liverpool F.C. (Liverpool FC) 4:2 Sunderland A.F.C. (Sunderland AFC) Club Friendlies | Liverpool vs Sunderland Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-24 | Preston North End F.C. (Preston) 0:1 Cambridge United F.C. (Cambridge) Club Friendlies | Preston vs Cambridge Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Leones 1:1 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Leones vs Guayaquil City Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC 3:1 Seattle MLS | Austin vs Seattle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Los Angeles FC 3:1 Real Salt Lake (Salt Lake) MLS | Los Angeles F vs Salt Lake Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-23 | San Jose Earthquakes (San Jose) 0:4 Orlando MLS | San Jose vs Orlando Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | LA Galaxy 1:3 St. Louis City SC (Saint Louis) MLS | Los Angeles G vs Saint Louis Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 1:1 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs LDU Quito Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Inter Miami CF 3:2 Chicago Fire FC MLS | Miami vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Ind. del Valle 3:0 Tecnico Uni Ecuador LigaPro | Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico Uni Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Manta Fútbol Club (Manta FC) 1:1 Liga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito (LDU Quito) Ecuador LigaPro | Manta vs LDU Quito Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Kharkiv 0:2 Schalke 04 (Schalke) Club Friendlies | Kharkiv vs Schalke Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Nottingham Forest F.C. (Nottingham) 3:0 Blackburn Rovers F.C. (Blackburn) Club Friendlies | Nottingham vs Blackburn Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-22 | Uni Catolica 2:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Uni Catolica vs Barcelona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-22 | Tijuana de Caliente 1:0 Leon Liga MX | Tijuana de Caliente vs Leon Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-21 | Grêmio Novorizontino (Gremio Novorizontino) 0:1 Criciúma Esporte Clube (Criciuma) Brasileiro Serie B | Gremio Novorizontino vs Criciuma Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Libertad Loja 1:0 Delfín Sporting Club (Delfin SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Libertad Loja vs Delfin Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-20 | Kalmar 2:2 Malmö FF (Malmo) Allsvenskan | Kalmar vs Malmo Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-14 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | France 0:2 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | France vs Spain: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-10 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 2:1 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Spain vs Belgium: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:1 France FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs France: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Brazil vs Norway: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Australia vs Egypt: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) 2:0 Algeria men's national football team (Algeria) FIFA World Cup | Switzerland vs Algeria: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-01 | Canadian men's national soccer team (Canada) 0:3 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Canada vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-01 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 2:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) FIFA World Cup | Belgium vs Senegal: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:2 Norway men's national association football team (Norway) FIFA World Cup | Ivory Coast vs Norway: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-30 | Netherlands 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-06-29 | Germany 1:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Germany vs Paraguay: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-29 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Ecuador: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-06-27 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-27 | Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) 1:1 IR Iran FIFA World Cup | Egypt vs IR Iran Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-26 | Uruguay men's national football team (Uruguay) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Uruguay vs Spain Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) 0:0 Saudi Arabia men's national football team (Saudi Arabia) FIFA World Cup | Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Japan men's national football team (Japan) 1:1 Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) FIFA World Cup | Japan vs Sweden Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-25 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) 0:0 Australia men's national soccer team (Australia) FIFA World Cup | Paraguay vs Australia Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-25 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |