Kalshi · Baseball
smal.hawg is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 20 picks, 80.0% win rate, $1K profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 47 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 47 have settled: 35 won, 12 lost, 74.5% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 38 | 38 | 30 | 78.9% |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| WNBA | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NFL | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
smal.hawg mainly predicts MLB: 38 of the last 47 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 80.0% hit rate over 20 orders, P&L $1K, ROI 24.8%. In MLB, 30 of 38 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-09-13 22:54 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Houston Texans 31:36 Buffalo Bills NFL | Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Kansas City Royals 9:7 Athletics MLB | A's vs Kansas City Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-18 | Minnesota Twins 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-18 | Tampa Bay Rays 7:6 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati Reds 1:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-17 | Houston Astros 2:3 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Dodgers 2:6 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Milwaukee vs Los Angeles D Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Los Angeles Angels 0:3 Kansas City Royals MLB | Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Minnesota Twins 5:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Reds 1:7 Miami Marlins MLB | Miami vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Mets 4:3 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:3 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Tampa Bay Rays 2:10 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Athletics 3:5 Texas Rangers MLB | Texas vs A's Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-16 | Pittsburgh Pirates 0:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Tampa Bay Rays 3:4 Baltimore Orioles MLB | Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | New York Mets 5:4 Washington Nationals MLB | Washington vs New York M Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto Blue Jays 4:1 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Chicago Cubs 4:8 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Chicago C Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Houston Astros 10:7 Seattle Mariners MLB | Seattle vs Houston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4 Boston Red Sox MLB | Boston vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-13 | Minnesota Twins 1:7 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs Minnesota Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks 4:6 Colorado Rockies MLB | Colorado vs Arizona Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | San Francisco Giants 1:2 Houston Astros MLB | Houston vs San Francisco Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Athletics 4:8 Tampa Bay Rays MLB | Tampa Bay vs A's Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | St. Louis Cardinals 2:0 Philadelphia Phillies MLB | Philadelphia vs St. Louis Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Chicago WS 4:5 Cincinnati Reds MLB | Cincinnati vs Chicago WS Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-12 | Washington Nationals 6:8 Chicago Cubs MLB | Chicago C vs Washington Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Boston Red Sox 3:4 Athletics MLB | A's vs Boston Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-09 | Pittsburgh Pirates 1:11 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Pittsburgh Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-19 | Arizona Diamondbacks 8:7 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | St. Louis vs Arizona Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-19 | Los Angeles Angels 3:2 Detroit Tigers MLB | Detroit vs Los Angeles A Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-24 | Los Angeles Angels 5:1 Baltimore MLB | Baltimore vs Los Angeles A Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-24 | Cincinnati 5:6 Milwaukee MLB | Milwaukee vs Cincinnati Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-23 | Toronto 7:9 Houston MLB | Houston vs Toronto Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Under 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-22 | New Zealand men's national football team (New Zealand) 1:3 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | EGY -2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-22 | Philadelphia 6:2 New York Mets MLB | New York M vs Philadelphia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-19 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 1:0 South Korea men's national football team (Korea Republic) FIFA World Cup | Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | San Antonio 90:94 New NBA | Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-06 | San Antonio 104:105 New NBA | Game 2: New York at San Antonio Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Chicago Sky 104:111 Toronto Tempo WNBA | Toronto vs Chicago winner | Won |
| 2026-05-28 | Club Atlético River Plate (River Plate) 3:0 Club Blooming (Blooming) CONMEBOL Sudamericana | River Plate vs Blooming Winner | Lost |
| 2026-05-26 | New York Liberty 74:81 Portland Fire WNBA | Portland vs New York winner | Lost |