Kalshi · Football
text.wage is a World Cup pro on Kalshi: 22 picks, 63.6% win rate, $309 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 51 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 51 have settled: 27 won, 24 lost, 52.9% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup | 22 | 22 | 14 | 63.6% |
| Leagues Cup | 9 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% |
| MLS | 7 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% |
| Intl Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| NCAAF | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| NBA | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
text.wage mainly predicts World Cup: 22 of the last 51 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 63.6% hit rate over 22 orders, P&L $309, ROI 10.1%. In World Cup, 14 of 22 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-14 04:33 UTC+8. Method: methodology
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Viking FK 3:3 FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) Champions League | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-27 | Austin FC 3:3 San Diego FC MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern Munich (Bayern Munich) 7:0 1. FC Union Berlin (Union Berlin) Bundesliga | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-12 | Texas Longhorns 24:23 Ohio St. NCAAF | Texas to win | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | Clemson to win | Lost |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Fire (Portland) 1:2 Austin FC MLS | Team Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:0 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-27 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:0 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Toluca vs Austin: Austin To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-08-27 | Toluca FC (Toluca) 2:0 Austin FC Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-20 | Seattle 1:2 Austin FC MLS | Seattle vs Austin Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-17 | Austin FC 1:2 FC Dallas MLS | Austin vs Dallas Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-14 | Cruz Azul (CF Cruz Azul) 1:2 Chicago Fire FC Leagues Cup | Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Under 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-08-10 | San Diego FC 1:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Over 1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-10 | Austin FC 3:0 Puebla F.C. (Club Puebla) Leagues Cup | ATX -3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-09 | Milwaukee Brewers 4:3 Minnesota Twins MLB | Minnesota vs Milwaukee Winner | Won |
| 2026-08-07 | Austin FC 2:0 Tijuana de Caliente Leagues Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-29 | MLS All-Star Game (MLS All Stars) 4:3 Liga MX All Stars MLS All-Star Game | MLS All Stars vs Liga MX All Stars Winner | Won |
| 2026-07-26 | Houston 3:0 Austin FC MLS | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-07-26 | Houston 3:0 Austin FC MLS | Houston vs Austin Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC 3:1 Seattle MLS | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-15 | England men's national association football team (England) 1:2 Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) FIFA World Cup | England vs Argentina: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-12 | Argentina men's national football team (Argentina) 1:1 Switzerland men's national football team (Switzerland) FIFA World Cup | Argentina vs Switzerland: To Advance | Won |
| 2026-07-11 | Norway men's national association football team (Norway) 1:1 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Norway vs England: To Advance | Lost |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-07 | USA 1:4 Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 0:1 Spain men's national football team (Spain) FIFA World Cup | Portugal vs Spain Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-06 | Mexico men's national football team (Mexico) 2:3 England men's national association football team (England) FIFA World Cup | Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Won |
| 2026-07-04 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 1:0 Ghana men's national football team (Ghana) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Ghana Winner | Lost |
| 2026-07-03 | Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) 2:1 Croatia men's national football team (Croatia) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-07-02 | USA 2:0 Bosnia and Herzegovina men's national football team (Bosnia and Herzegovina) FIFA World Cup | Over 1.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia men's national football team (Colombia) 0:0 Portugal men's national football team (Portugal) FIFA World Cup | Colombia vs Portugal Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-26 | Turkiye 3:2 USA FIFA World Cup | Turkiye vs USA Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-21 | Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) 0:0 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Ecuador vs Curacao Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Belgium men's national football team (Belgium) 1:1 Egypt men's national football team (Egypt) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-15 | Spain men's national football team (Spain) 0:0 Cape Verde men's national football team (Cape Verde) FIFA World Cup | Under 0.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-15 | Sweden men's national football team (Sweden) 5:1 Tunisia men's national football team (Tunisia) FIFA World Cup | Sweden vs Tunisia Winner | Won |
| 2026-06-14 | Ivory Coast men's national football team (Ivory Coast) 1:0 Ecuador men's national football team (Ecuador) FIFA World Cup | 1H Over 0.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-14 | Germany 7:1 Curaçao men's national football team (Curaçao) FIFA World Cup | Over 4.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | Brazil men's national football team (Brazil) 1:1 Morocco men's national football team (Morocco) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 3.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-13 | USA 4:1 Paraguay men's national football team (Paraguay) FIFA World Cup | Over 2.5 | Won |
| 2026-06-11 | New 107:106 San Antonio NBA | Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1:2 Germany Intl Friendlies | USA vs Germany Winner | Lost |
| 2026-06-06 | USA 1:2 Germany Intl Friendlies | Over 3.5 | Lost |
| 2026-06-04 | San Antonio 95:105 New NBA | Team Over 105.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | USA -1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | USA vs Senegal Winner | Won |
| 2026-05-31 | USA 3:2 Senegal men's national association football team (Senegal) Intl Friendlies | USA vs Senegal Winner | Lost |