Kalshi · Baseball
thugnasty is a MLB pro on Kalshi: 49 picks, 65.3% win rate, $464 profit. Real on-chain positions, updated daily.
Of the 60 most recent predictions listed below ( to ), 60 have settled: 22 won, 38 lost, 36.7% accuracy.
| League | Records | Settled | Won | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 25 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% |
| NCAAF | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| Ecuador LigaPro | 4 | 4 | 2 | — |
| MLS | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| CS2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
thugnasty mainly predicts MLB: 25 of the last 60 recorded predictions. Platform: Kalshi.
Across the settled orders we have collected: 65.3% hit rate over 49 orders, P&L $464, ROI 33.4%. In MLB, 10 of 25 recent settled predictions were correct.
Hit rate = correct settled predictions ÷ settled predictions; pending ones are not counted. P&L and ROI use the cost and settlement of each public position. Past results do not predict future ones.
Source: public positions on Kalshi. Data as of 2026-10-13 06:22 UTC+8. Method: methodology
LWLWW
| Date | Match | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Milwaukee Brewers 7:4 Los Angeles Dodgers MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys 39:31 Oregon Ducks NCAAF | Under 73.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Miami 14:15 New York Mets MLB | Under 24.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Miami 14:15 New York Mets MLB | Under 19.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Miami 14:15 New York Mets MLB | New York M wins | Won |
| 2026-09-10 | Montreal 1:2 Charlotte FC MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-10 | Atlanta 2:3 Orlando MLS | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | Miami 14:15 New York Mets MLB | NYM +7.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-09 | FaZe 1:2 Orlando Magic (magic) CS2 | FaZe wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-09 | San Francisco Giants 2:1 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Over 6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. (Bolton) 2:3 West Ham United F.C. (West Ham) EFL Championship | Under 5.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Wrexham A.F.C. (Wrexham AFC) 1:1 Burnley F.C. (Burnley FC) EFL Championship | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund) 3:2 Villarreal CF Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | N.E.C. (Nijmegen) 2:2 Excelsior Rotterdam (Excelsior) Eredivisie | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-08 | Club Brugge K.V. (Club Brugge) 2:3 Aston Villa F.C. (Aston Villa FC) Champions League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Orense S.C. (Orense SC) 4:3 Guayaquil City F.C. (Guayaquil City FC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-08 | Mushuc Runa Sporting Club (Mushuc Runa SC) 1:1 Leones Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Michigan Wolverines 17:10 Oklahoma NCAAF | Oklahoma to win | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Under 71.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Under 68.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers 7:5 Washington Nationals MLB | Over 6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | C.D. Cuenca (CD Cuenca) 0:1 Libertad Loja Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Aucas 1:1 Barcelona S.C. (Barcelona SC) Ecuador LigaPro | Tie is the result | Won |
| 2026-09-07 | Pereira 1:1 Millonarios Colombian Liga DIMAYOR | Millonarios wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | Ole Miss Rebels 41:38 Louisville Cardinals NCAAF | Under 44.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-07 | C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) 2:1 U de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino wins | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | C.D. Palestino (CD Palestino) 2:1 U de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | San Diego Padres 4:3 New York Yankees MLB | SD +3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Seattle Mariners 2:0 Athletics MLB | Over 5.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Colorado Rockies 8:10 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Under 15.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Texas 8:6 Tampa Bay MLB | Under 14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Miami Marlins 10:3 Chicago Cubs MLB | MIA -6.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:5 Atlanta Braves MLB | Over 9.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Cincinnati Reds 12:8 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 18.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | MOUZ 1:3 Team Spirit CS2 | MOUZ wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Nevada Wolf Pack 49:14 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers NCAAF | NEV -28.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-06 | LSU Tigers 51:10 Clemson Tigers NCAAF | LSU -42.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | California Golden Bears 24:45 UCLA Bruins NCAAF | UCLA +7.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-06 | Atlas F.C. (Atlas FC) 1:1 Atlante F.C. (Atlante FC) Liga MX | Atlas wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Phillies 4:2 Atlanta Braves MLB | Atlanta wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Auburn Tigers 17:16 Baylor Bears NCAAF | AUB -6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE -3.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE +6.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Oregon Ducks 34:27 Boise State Broncos NCAAF | ORE +17.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Al Ittihad 2:1 Al Nassr Club Saudi Pro League | Tie is the result | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Seattle Mariners 6:7 Athletics MLB | Seattle wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Seattle Mariners 6:7 Athletics MLB | Under 14.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | San Diego Padres 3:2 New York Yankees MLB | New York Y wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati Reds 7:10 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Cincinnati wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | New York Mets 10:6 San Francisco MLB | San Francisco wins | Lost |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati Reds 7:10 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 19.5 | Won |
| 2026-09-05 | Cincinnati Reds 7:10 Milwaukee Brewers MLB | Under 14.5 | Lost |
| 2026-09-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers 3:2 St. Louis Cardinals MLB | Los Angeles D wins | Won |
| 2026-09-02 | Boston Red Sox 3:8 Seattle Mariners MLB | SEA +1.5 | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Arsenal F.C. (Arsenal FC) 1:1 Como 1907 Club Friendlies | Arsenal vs Como Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Manchester United F.C. (Manchester United FC) 1:1 Leeds United F.C. (Leeds United FC) Club Friendlies | Manchester United vs Leeds United Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Nea Salamis Famagusta FC (Nea Salamina) Anorthosis Famagusta Club Friendlies | Nea Salamina vs Anorthosis Famagusta Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Everton F.C. (Everton FC) 3:1 Newcastle United F.C. (Newcastle) Club Friendlies | Everton vs Newcastle Winner | Lost |
| 2026-08-12 | Nea Salamis Famagusta FC (Nea Salamina) Anorthosis Famagusta Club Friendlies | Nea Salamina vs Anorthosis Famagusta Winner | Won |